Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +2 (103-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Love * | 58 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 46 | - |
| L. Black * | 54 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 23 | - |
| RJ Davis * | 50 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 33 | - |
| A. Bacot * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 29 | - |
| P. Nance * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | - |
| N. Burnett * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| P. Johnson | 48 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| D. Dunn | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Trimble | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Styles | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. McKoy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sears * | 55 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 30 | - |
| B. Miller * | 48 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 20 | - |
| C. Bediako * | 44 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 36 | - |
| N. Clowney * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| N. Gurley | 42 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 18 | - |
| R. Griffen | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| N. Pringle | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter