Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Pittsburgh Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.0% | 43.0% | -1.5 | ✗ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers +2 (76-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bacot | 37 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 22 | - |
| RJ Davis | 35 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| C. Love | 35 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| L. Black | 30 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| P. Nance | 30 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| D. Dunn | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Nickel | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Trimble | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Johnson | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hinson | 37 | 4-14 | 3-10 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| N. Cummings | 35 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| F. Federiko | 34 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| G. Elliott | 27 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| N. Sibande | 24 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Diaz Graham | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Diaz Graham | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter