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2022-11-24

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 83.1% 16.9% -
Bradley-Terry 85.1% 14.9% -
Margin 96.6% 3.4% -18.4 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 62.7% 37.3% -
Efficiency 68.6% 31.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.2% 23.8% -
Log Adjusted 76.4% 23.6% -

Actual: Portland Pilots -8 (81-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Love * 38 10-15 3-4 0-1 3 4 3 1 2 23 17 -
P. Nance * 35 8-13 5-8 7-9 7 2 0 0 1 28 23 -
L. Black * 34 4-7 1-3 2-4 9 3 1 0 3 11 14 -
A. Bacot * 33 4-6 0-1 3-8 13 2 0 0 4 11 16 -
RJ Davis * 32 4-11 1-3 4-4 3 5 0 0 1 13 9 -
D. Dunn 11 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
P. Johnson 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Trimble 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
T. Nickel 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. McKoy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Robertson * 37 4-12 3-7 2-2 1 7 2 0 2 13 9 -
M. Wood * 34 7-14 4-9 3-4 3 1 0 0 2 21 9 -
J. Perry * 28 1-4 1-4 2-2 4 6 2 0 1 5 12 -
J. St. Pierre * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 8 12 -
K. Sjolund * 16 3-6 2-5 1-1 1 1 0 1 0 9 6 -
C. Nduka 25 3-3 0-0 2-3 6 2 3 0 3 8 13 -
J. Gorosito 18 1-6 1-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 3 0 -
A. Applewhite 15 5-8 1-2 3-3 1 2 1 0 1 14 9 -
V. Vucinic 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter