Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 96.6% | 3.4% | -18.4 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots -8 (81-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Love * | 38 | 10-15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| P. Nance * | 35 | 8-13 | 5-8 | 7-9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 23 | - |
| L. Black * | 34 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| A. Bacot * | 33 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 16 | - |
| RJ Davis * | 32 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| D. Dunn | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| P. Johnson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Trimble | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Nickel | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. McKoy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Robertson * | 37 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| M. Wood * | 34 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 9 | - |
| J. Perry * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| J. St. Pierre * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| K. Sjolund * | 16 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C. Nduka | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| J. Gorosito | 18 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. Applewhite | 15 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| V. Vucinic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter