Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.3% | 20.7% | -7.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -11 (66-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis * | 38 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Player #4397233 * | 37 | 3-10 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Player #4433144 * | 37 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Player #4395650 * | 33 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Player #4431674 * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| P. Johnson | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Styles | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Trimble | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Washington | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Da. Green Jr. * | 36 | 1-11 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -5 | - |
| M. Cleveland * | 34 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Warley * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| C. Corhen * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Yates * | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Mills | 34 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| B. Miller | 13 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Green | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. Jackson | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| N. McLeod | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter