Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.1% | 28.9% | -5.0 | ✗ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +8 (80-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Nance | 37 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| RJ Davis | 36 | 6-11 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| C. Love | 31 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 6-9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| T. Nickel | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| L. Black | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Trimble | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| P. Johnson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Styles | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. McKoy | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Shaver | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mutts | 38 | 12-16 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 22 | - |
| D. Maddox | 37 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Pedulla | 36 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| G. Basile | 29 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| H. Cattoor | 29 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| MJ Collins | 21 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| L. Kidd | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Poteat | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter