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North Carolina Tar Heels 57
@
Duke Blue Devils 63
2023-02-04

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 16.4% 83.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 32.1% 67.9% - ✓
Margin 24.2% 75.8% +6.3 ✓ (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% - ✓
Efficiency 23.1% 76.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 29.7% 70.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 29.6% 70.4% - ✓

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +6 (63-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Player #4433144 * 37 5-15 2-7 0-1 1 4 1 0 2 12 1 -
Player #4431674 * 35 6-12 0-0 2-2 10 2 1 2 2 14 15 -
RJ Davis * 35 5-16 1-5 0-0 5 5 0 0 0 11 5 -
Player #4395650 * 34 5-10 3-6 0-0 10 0 0 1 0 13 14 -
Player #4397233 * 30 1-10 0-5 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 2 -5 -
P. Johnson 16 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 3 -
D. Dunn 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Trimble 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Washington 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Roach * 40 8-20 1-2 3-4 7 0 1 0 1 20 7 -
Player #5023693 * 38 5-13 1-2 0-0 7 5 2 1 3 11 10 -
Player #4684793 * 35 4-14 1-3 5-7 7 0 1 2 3 14 7 -
Player #4683688 * 34 2-3 0-1 0-0 14 2 0 8 1 4 24 -
M. Mitchell * 28 2-5 0-0 2-3 8 1 0 0 1 6 9 -
J. Grandison 17 2-5 1-3 1-1 0 1 0 0 1 6 1 -
R. Young 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
J. Blakes 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter