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2023-01-21

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 31.5% 68.5% -
Bradley-Terry 36.0% 64.0% -
Margin 26.1% 73.9% +5.7 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% -
Efficiency 43.3% 56.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.7% 53.3% -
Log Adjusted 46.5% 53.5% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +11 (80-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Player #4278729 * 38 6-18 0-6 6-6 4 3 1 0 1 18 7 -
C. Morsell * 38 4-8 3-5 1-1 3 0 0 0 1 12 6 -
DJ Burns Jr. * 25 8-13 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 1 1 18 9 -
Player #4683940 * 23 5-15 1-4 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 12 -2 -
G. Gantt Jr. * 21 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 0 4 -
E. Ross 19 2-4 1-2 2-2 4 1 1 1 2 7 8 -
E. Dowuona 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 2 3 -
LJ Thomas 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
B. Pass 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Player #4433144 * 38 3-14 1-5 9-10 5 1 0 0 0 16 8 -
Player #4397233 * 37 2-5 1-3 0-0 8 1 0 1 1 5 9 -
RJ Davis * 37 5-8 2-4 14-14 4 0 0 0 3 26 19 -
Player #4431674 * 33 8-13 0-0 7-7 18 1 1 0 0 23 30 -
Player #4395650 * 26 2-6 0-2 5-6 4 1 2 1 1 9 10 -
D. Dunn 17 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -5 -
J. Washington 5 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 -
S. Trimble 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Styles 3 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -

* = starter