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2023-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Wake Forest Demon Deacons North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 29.1% 70.9% -
Bradley-Terry 25.4% 74.6% -
Margin 16.5% 83.5% +8.9 (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% -
Efficiency 42.1% 57.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.2% 66.8% -
Log Adjusted 33.0% 67.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +9 (88-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Appleby * 38 5-15 3-5 3-6 4 9 2 0 2 16 14 -
A. Carr * 35 7-11 2-4 0-2 9 5 0 0 3 16 16 -
D. Monsanto * 29 6-11 3-8 2-2 7 1 3 0 4 17 13 -
M. Marsh * 24 3-4 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 2 6 3 -
C. Hildreth * 20 0-3 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 3 2 -2 -
D. Williamson 30 4-7 2-3 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 12 8 -
D. Bradford 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
B. Klintman 12 1-4 0-1 4-4 3 0 1 0 1 6 5 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Player #4433144 * 38 3-15 1-7 0-0 4 2 1 0 4 7 -5 -
RJ Davis * 38 9-14 5-8 4-4 4 4 3 0 0 27 24 -
Player #4431674 * 38 7-11 0-0 7-10 9 5 2 1 0 21 27 -
Player #4395650 * 34 6-8 3-5 3-4 4 1 3 0 3 18 15 -
Player #4397233 * 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Trimble 22 4-4 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 2 1 11 10 -
J. McKoy 17 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 2 0 2 5 -
P. Johnson 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Washington 4 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Dunn 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter