Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.6% | 44.4% | -1.2 | ✗ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +12 (77-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Nance * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 28 | - |
| RJ Davis * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 18 | - |
| C. Love * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| L. Black * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| A. Bacot * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 22 | - |
| D. Dunn | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| P. Johnson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| S. Trimble | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Nickel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hood-Schifino * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 19 | - |
| X. Johnson * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 32 | - |
| T. Jackson-Davis * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 39 | - |
| R. Thompson * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Kopp * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| T. Galloway | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| M. Reneau | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter