Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Syracuse Orange | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.4% | 22.6% | -6.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Syracuse Orange -4 (68-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4397233 * | 40 | 6-17 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Player #4395650 * | 36 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| RJ Davis * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Player #4431674 * | 32 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Player #4433144 * | 31 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| T. Nickel | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Washington | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Dunn | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Trimble | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Syracuse Orange
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Girard III * | 37 | 7-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 8 | - |
| C. Bell * | 36 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Player #4431816 * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Player #4684729 * | 31 | 7-19 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 3 | - |
| B. Williams * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Brown | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| S. Torrence | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Hima | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Taylor | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter