Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.2% | 78.8% | +7.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -1 (64-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Cummings * | 34 | 8-11 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Player #4396963 * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| F. Federiko * | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| G. Elliott * | 26 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| N. Sibande | 29 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| G. Diaz Graham | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| N. Santos | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Diaz Graham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4397233 * | 38 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Player #4433144 * | 37 | 8-18 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 10 | - |
| RJ Davis * | 37 | 3-15 | 0-6 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Player #4431674 * | 34 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 9-15 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Player #4395650 * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Dunn | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Nickel | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Trimble | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Washington | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Styles | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter