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NC State Wolfpack

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: NC State Wolfpack
Program History

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

77.0
PPG
67.4
Opp
+9.6
Margin
45.1%
FG%
31.7%
3P%
76.6%
FT%
42.3
RPG
14.2
APG
12.9
TO
85.3
Pace
81.5
AdjO
57.1
AdjD
#28
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1133 (#97) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1266 (#43) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 1067 (#105) HCA +113 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +25.5 (#25) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +34.8 (#27) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.813 (#70) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +16.5 More → 0.879 (#52) NetEff +16.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +35.6 More → 0.984 (#28) AdjNet +35.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +36.7 More → 0.986 (#28) AdjNet +36.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.5 | AdjD 57.1 More → 0.902 (#28) AdjO 81.5 | AdjD 57.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 61.0 More → 0.767 (#33) AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 61.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.959 (#26) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.942 (#28) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 115 | GP 31 More → 1207 (#73) RD 115 | GP 31

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs Tennessee Lady Volunteers W 80 - 77
2025-11-09 vs USC Trojans L 68 - 69
2025-11-11 vs Maine Black Bears W 66 - 47
2025-11-16 vs TCU Horned Frogs L 59 - 69
2025-11-19 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 71 - 58
2025-11-23 vs Rhode Island Rams L 63 - 68
2025-11-27 @ Green Bay Phoenix W 79 - 67
2025-11-28 @ Southern Miss Lady Eagles W 110 - 56
2025-12-03 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 98 - 103
2025-12-07 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 61 - 53
2025-12-14 @ Miami Hurricanes W 87 - 61
2025-12-18 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 87 - 58
2026-01-01 vs Stanford Cardinal W 74 - 46
2026-01-04 vs California Golden Bears W 71 - 60
2026-01-08 @ Clemson Tigers L 65 - 75
2026-01-11 vs SMU Mustangs W 91 - 54
2026-01-15 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 95 - 77
2026-01-18 vs Louisville Cardinals L 80 - 88
2026-01-25 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 78 - 76
2026-01-29 @ Boston College Eagles W 106 - 84
2026-02-02 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 59 - 61
2026-02-05 vs Florida State Seminoles W 83 - 55
2026-02-08 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 82 - 62
2026-02-15 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 67 - 79
2026-02-19 @ Duke Blue Devils L 65 - 83
2026-02-22 vs Syracuse Orange W 82 - 69
2026-02-26 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 65 - 56
2026-03-01 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 93 - 43
2026-03-06 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 63 - 81
2026-03-20 vs Tennessee Lady Volunteers W 76 - 61
2026-03-22 @ Michigan Wolverines L 63 - 92

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
K. Pierre K. Pierre F 31 31.6 16.5 11.9 1.4 1.0 0.5 2.7 13.9 14.8 150 6.5 8.4 52.1 16.7 70.0 4.06 54.5 52.2
Z. Brooks Z. Brooks G 30 32.9 16.1 4.7 4.3 1.7 0.3 2.4 12.6 12.1 150 6.5 7.5 43.8 23.7 86.6 2.3 53.8 45.6
Z. Jones Z. Jones G 30 32.2 14.8 3.2 3.9 1.3 0.6 2.3 13.1 8.3 116 5.3 6.4 41.8 36.1 76.9 0.95 52.7 50.1
T. Trygger T. Trygger F 29 29.9 10.7 7.0 1.2 0.6 1.3 1.3 8.4 11.1 120 5.7 7.4 52.5 35.0 63.0 2.23 58.1 56.8
Q. Samuels Q. Samuels G 31 25.5 6.6 4.7 1.1 0.8 0.3 1.1 6.0 6.5 93 4.0 6.4 39.2 29.1 74.4 0.07 50.5 47.3
D. Lunan D. Lunan G 31 16.4 4.5 1.4 1.2 0.8 0.1 1.4 4.2 2.5 -6 -0.3 -0.6 36.2 34.0 76.9 -0.27 47.9 42.7
D. Quigley D. Quigley G 28 16.5 4.4 2.4 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.8 4.0 3.1 44 2.2 5.0 42.5 31.0 71.4 -0.13 52.0 50.4
L. Awou L. Awou C 3 8.0 3.3 3.3 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.3 3.7 2.7 -17 -5.7 -42.5 45.5 0 0.0 -2.03 40.6 45.5
M. Cox M. Cox F 31 15.5 2.8 2.8 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.6 2.4 4.1 -11 -0.5 -1.1 39.2 35.1 88.2 -1.08 52.8 48.0
M. Collier M. Collier C 16 7.0 2.6 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.8 1.8 -38 -2.9 -18.7 62.1 0 75.0 -2.47 64.6 62.1
A. Jernigan A. Jernigan G 15 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 2.7 0.1 -18 -1.5 -14.1 32.5 18.5 0.0 -1.3 38.3 38.8

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG