Davidson Wildcats
2026 Team Stats (33 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1190 (#88) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1158 (#83) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1058 (#108) | HCA +106 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +10.6 (#76) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +6.7 (#96) | HCA +2.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.797 (#74) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.797 (#74) | NetEff +10.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.872 (#71) | AdjNet +16.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.875 (#73) | AdjNet +16.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.715 (#73) | AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 56.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.610 (#94) | AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 57.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.739 (#79) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.720 (#83) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1159 (#80) | RD 145 | GP 33 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charlise Dunn
|
G | 33 | 33.5 | 15.3 | 7.4 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 13.4 | 11.2 | 157 | 31 | 5.1 | 6.2 | 40.8 | 30.9 | 83.5 | 3.2 | 52.1 | 48.0 |
Katie Donovan
|
G | 33 | 32.7 | 11.7 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 8.6 | 6.9 | 144 | 30 | 4.8 | 5.9 | 44.7 | 45.8 | 80.7 | -0.04 | 60.2 | 56.2 |
Kyra Bruyndoncx
|
G | 30 | 28.2 | 9.3 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 8.4 | 3.5 | 66 | 28 | 2.4 | 3.5 | 42.3 | 33.6 | 68.0 | -0.17 | 52.7 | 51.6 |
Edina Strausz
|
C | 32 | 13.8 | 6.4 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 4.4 | 57 | 30 | 1.9 | 5.6 | 53.6 | 0.0 | 62.8 | -1.33 | 55.4 | 53.6 |
Ines Garcia Monje
|
F | 32 | 22.2 | 5.2 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 4.9 | 7.6 | 101 | 30 | 3.4 | 6.4 | 43.0 | 12.5 | 38.9 | 2.38 | 44.3 | 44.3 |
Candice Lienafa
|
F | 33 | 14.0 | 4.8 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 58 | 31 | 1.9 | 5.4 | 37.6 | 33.3 | 70.2 | -0.47 | 48.9 | 44.3 |
Elena Alvarez Castellanos
|
G | 32 | 19.6 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 3.6 | 4.6 | 108 | 30 | 3.6 | 7.5 | 44.7 | 39.1 | 75.0 | 2.78 | 54.0 | 48.7 |
Emilie Bessell
|
G | 32 | 14.1 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 90 | 30 | 3.0 | 8.5 | 45.3 | 36.4 | 80.5 | 0.08 | 55.2 | 49.1 |
Asha Nightingale
|
F | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
Jasmine Timmerson
|
G | 33 | 12.6 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 76 | 31 | 2.5 | 8.0 | 40.3 | 30.0 | 62.5 | 0.43 | 50.3 | 49.3 |
Angeliki Ziaka
|
G | 29 | 13.3 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 87 | 29 | 3.0 | 9.5 | 30.3 | 25.6 | 70.0 | 0.85 | 39.8 | 37.5 |
Stephanie Gutierrez-Rodriguez
|
G | 3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 102.5 | 125.0 |
Sylvie Jackson
|
G | 7 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.7 | 50.7 | 50.0 |
Sienna Dauer
|
G | 20 | 6.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 0.3 | -17 | 18 | -0.9 | -5.9 | 29.7 | 10.0 | 50.0 | -4.71 | 31.7 | 31.1 |
Eliza Buerk
|
F | 6 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.12 | 34.7 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2025-2026 Shot Zones
1855 located field-goal attempts in 33 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Charlise DunnKatie DonovanKyra BruyndoncxEdina StrauszInes Garcia MonjeCandice LienafaElena Alvarez CastellanosEmilie Bessell
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 325-545 | 59.6 | 650 | Charlise Dunn 26% (166 pts) | Edina Strausz 16% (106 pts) | Charlise Dunn 24% (52 misses) | Katie Donovan 15% (32 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 204-520 | 39.2 | 408 | Edina Strausz 17% (70 pts) | Charlise Dunn 17% (68 pts) | Charlise Dunn 20% (62 misses) | Katie Donovan 14% (45 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 9-36 | 25.0 | 18 | Kyra Bruyndoncx 56% (10 pts) | Elena Alvarez Castellanos 22% (4 pts) | Emilie Bessell 30% (8 misses) | Charlise Dunn 19% (5 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-5 | 40.0 | 4 | Ines Garcia Monje 50% (2 pts) | Jasmine Timmerson 50% (2 pts) | Candice Lienafa 33% (1 misses) | Charlise Dunn 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 11-28 | 39.3 | 22 | Kyra Bruyndoncx 45% (10 pts) | Candice Lienafa 18% (4 pts) | Elena Alvarez Castellanos 35% (6 misses) | Ines Garcia Monje 12% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 32-100 | 32.0 | 96 | Charlise Dunn 31% (30 pts) | Kyra Bruyndoncx 28% (27 pts) | Kyra Bruyndoncx 28% (19 misses) | Charlise Dunn 18% (12 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 27-66 | 40.9 | 81 | Katie Donovan 41% (33 pts) | Candice Lienafa 11% (9 pts) | Kyra Bruyndoncx 31% (12 misses) | Charlise Dunn 21% (8 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 85-256 | 33.2 | 255 | Katie Donovan 34% (87 pts) | Charlise Dunn 24% (60 pts) | Charlise Dunn 27% (47 misses) | Kyra Bruyndoncx 20% (35 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 25-74 | 33.8 | 75 | Katie Donovan 28% (21 pts) | Candice Lienafa 20% (15 pts) | Charlise Dunn 27% (13 misses) | Katie Donovan 20% (10 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 72-225 | 32.0 | 216 | Charlise Dunn 36% (78 pts) | Kyra Bruyndoncx 26% (57 pts) | Charlise Dunn 39% (59 misses) | Kyra Bruyndoncx 16% (25 misses) |