Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Davidson Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.4% | 51.6% | -4.8 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.2% | 29.8% | -9.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Davidson Wildcats -15 (57-72). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kymora Johnson * | 36 | 9-18 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Mary-Anna Asare * | 36 | 8-10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | +12.2 |
| Breona Hurd * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Sintija Aukstikalnyte * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +16.8 |
| Caterina Piatti * | 21 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +5.3 |
| Adeang Ring | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Eris Lester | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -14.5 |
| Erica Gribble | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4.0 |
| Olivia McGhee | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lyla Coogen | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +4.5 |
| Janae Walker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.5 |
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyra Bruyndoncx * | 29 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Katie Donovan * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Emilie Bessell * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ines Garcia Monje * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Elena Alvarez Castellanos * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Lilli Onnela | 25 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | -6.1 |
| Jasmine Timmerson | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Asha Nightingale | 14 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Sharni Reisinger | 13 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +4.0 |
| Georgia Ferguson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +4.2 |
| Sylvie Jackson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Eliza Buerk | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter