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North Carolina Tar Heels

Season: 2026 2025 2024
Also known as: North Carolina Tar Heels
Program History

2026 Team Stats (69 games)

77.1
PPG
57.6
Opp
+14.0
Margin
46.0%
FG%
34.7%
3P%
68.5%
FT%
39.1
RPG
15.8
APG
12.1
TO
81.2
Pace
78.0
AdjO
50.2
AdjD
#19
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo 1381 (#9) -
Bradley-Terry 1339 (#16) -
Margin +28.6 (#19) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean 0.933 (#17) -
Efficiency 0.952 (#23) NetEff +23.6
Adjusted Efficiency 0.992 (#18) AdjO 120.7 | AdjD 79.3
Log Adjusted 0.993 (#19) AdjO 121.9 | AdjD 79.2
Points Off/Def 0.926 (#19) AdjO 78.0 | AdjD 50.2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs N.C. Central W 90 - 42
2025-11-06 vs Elon W 71 - 37
2025-11-13 @ UCLA L 60 - 78
2025-11-15 @ Fairfield W 82 - 68
2025-11-20 @ N.C. A&T W 85 - 50
2025-11-27 @ South Dakota St. W 83 - 48
2025-11-28 vs Kansas St. W 85 - 73
2025-11-29 @ Columbia W 80 - 63
2025-12-04 @ Texas L 64 - 79
2025-12-07 vs Boston U. W 82 - 40
2025-12-14 vs Louisville L 66 - 76
2025-12-17 vs UNCW W 84 - 34
2025-12-21 vs Charleston So. W 93 - 74
2025-12-29 @ Boston College W 90 - 39
2026-01-01 vs California W 71 - 55
2026-01-04 vs Stanford L 71 - 77
2026-01-11 @ Notre Dame L 50 - 73
2026-01-18 @ Florida St. W 82 - 55
2026-01-22 @ Georgia Tech W 54 - 46
2026-01-25 vs Syracuse W 77 - 71
2026-02-02 @ NC State W 61 - 59
2026-02-05 vs Clemson W 53 - 44
2026-02-08 @ Wake Forest L 0 - 0
2026-02-12 vs SMU W 94 - 42
2026-02-15 @ Duke L 68 - 72
2026-02-19 @ Virginia Tech W 66 - 63
2026-02-22 vs Pittsburgh W 78 - 50
2026-02-26 @ Virginia W 82 - 70
2026-03-01 vs Duke W 74 - 69
2026-03-06 vs Virginia Tech W 85 - 68
2026-03-07 @ Louisville L 57 - 65
2026-03-20 vs Western Ill. W 82 - 51
2026-03-22 vs Maryland W 74 - 66
2026-03-27 @ UConn L 42 - 63

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles, with four dividers separating the position buckets.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
N. Harris F 35 23.8 11.4 6.9 0.9 1.0 0.3 1.6 7.7 11.0 - - - 57.6 13.3 78.7 - 62.6 57.9
L. Grant G 34 29.0 10.8 1.9 2.3 0.6 0.1 1.8 8.3 5.5 - - - 44.0 41.9 80.7 - 59.6 56.7
I. Nivar G 35 28.7 10.6 5.2 3.7 2.7 0.5 2.6 9.3 10.9 - - - 45.1 31.2 60.0 - 51.0 48.9
E. Aarnisalo G 36 26.7 10.2 3.4 2.9 0.9 0.2 2.2 8.6 6.7 - - - 47.3 40.4 76.1 - 55.4 53.4
C. Toomey F 36 23.3 8.8 6.2 1.4 0.7 1.5 1.4 6.6 10.6 - - - 54.4 29.6 66.7 - 60.3 58.8
N. Brooks G 36 19.9 8.6 3.5 1.1 0.8 0.4 1.5 8.1 4.7 - - - 36.6 37.7 59.6 - 49.0 47.4
R. Kelly G 23 25.4 6.1 2.0 2.2 1.3 0.1 1.3 7.3 3.2 - - - 28.6 32.3 78.1 - 38.7 34.5
L. Hull G 31 12.2 4.0 1.9 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.5 3.7 3.5 - - - 36.8 34.0 69.2 - 52.2 50.9
T. Henderson G 33 10.4 3.7 2.0 0.3 0.6 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.5 - - - 56.8 28.6 48.3 - 60.5 61.4
T. Queiroz G 25 12.0 2.8 2.8 0.9 0.3 0.2 1.0 2.5 3.4 - - - 49.2 0.0 70.0 - 51.2 49.2
J. Zubich G 17 6.8 2.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.0 0.4 - - - 32.4 32.3 75.0 - 48.9 47.1
L. Astakhova F 12 4.7 2.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.4 0.6 - - - 34.5 20.0 75.0 - 40.6 37.9
B. Thomas C 20 6.9 1.7 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.8 1.9 - - - 45.7 100.0 20.0 - 45.7 47.1
S. Barker G 16 2.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.5 - - - 25.0 16.7 0.0 - 27.2 29.2

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG