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Fairfield Stags

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Fairfield Stags
Program History

2026 Team Stats (33 games)

75.0
PPG
56.5
Opp
+18.5
Margin
45.2%
FG%
36.9%
3P%
75.6%
FT%
32.4
RPG
17.2
APG
13.3
TO
69.4
Est. poss./game
72.6
Adj PPG
59.0
Adj Opp PPG
#57
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1377 (#26) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1289 (#27) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More → 1171 (#12) HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +13.0 (#62) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → +14.5 (#56) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.963 (#7) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +26.5 More → 0.963 (#7) NetEff +26.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.0 More → 0.910 (#60) AdjNet +20.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.0 More → 0.912 (#60) AdjNet +20.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 59.0 More → 0.774 (#57) AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 59.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 54.9 More → 0.800 (#22) AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 54.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.838 (#49) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.842 (#43) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 123 | GP 33 More → 1264 (#32) RD 123 | GP 33

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-05 @ Villanova Wildcats W 75 - 63
2025-11-08 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks W 88 - 60
2025-11-13 vs South Florida Bulls W 80 - 72
2025-11-15 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 68 - 82
2025-11-25 vs New Haven Chargers W 79 - 60
2025-11-30 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 72 - 86
2025-12-05 @ Howard Bison L 69 - 72
2025-12-07 @ Richmond Spiders W 93 - 73
2025-12-12 vs Maine Black Bears W 74 - 51
2025-12-19 @ Rider Broncs W 84 - 58
2025-12-21 vs Merrimack Warriors W 84 - 65
2025-12-29 @ Manhattan Jaspers W 84 - 59
2026-01-01 vs Canisius Golden Griffins W 72 - 43
2026-01-03 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 98 - 42
2026-01-08 @ Saint Peter's Peacocks W 84 - 62
2026-01-14 @ Marist Red Foxes W 63 - 49
2026-01-17 vs Manhattan Jaspers W 76 - 54
2026-01-19 vs Siena Saints W 86 - 50
2026-01-22 @ Niagara Purple Eagles W 81 - 51
2026-01-24 @ Canisius Golden Griffins W 58 - 42
2026-01-29 vs Quinnipiac Bobcats L 58 - 72
2026-01-31 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers W 60 - 43
2026-02-05 vs Marist Red Foxes W 109 - 48
2026-02-07 vs Iona Gaels W 82 - 46
2026-02-12 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 69 - 43
2026-02-14 @ Quinnipiac Bobcats W 75 - 63
2026-02-19 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks W 62 - 30
2026-02-21 @ Siena Saints W 81 - 51
2026-02-28 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 67 - 50
2026-03-06 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 69 - 53
2026-03-08 vs Merrimack Warriors W 65 - 48
2026-03-09 @ Quinnipiac Bobcats W 51 - 44
2026-03-21 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 60 - 79

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kaety L'Amoreaux Kaety L'Amoreaux G 33 31.8 17.3 4.9 4.3 2.1 0.3 2.7 12.1 14.2 517 27 19.1 25.6 46.4 36.5 88.7 4.59 61.8 55.6
Meghan Andersen Meghan Andersen F 33 29.8 16.1 4.7 1.9 1.2 1.0 1.7 13.5 9.8 482 27 17.9 25.6 44.6 39.8 88.9 3.22 56.9 54.5
Jillian Huerter Jillian Huerter G 31 25.4 9.3 2.5 2.5 0.8 0.5 1.5 7.3 6.7 371 25 14.8 24.8 41.9 43.6 93.1 0.67 60.1 57.5
Cyanne Coe Cyanne Coe F 32 21.8 8.9 5.8 1.6 1.1 0.8 1.7 6.3 10.2 388 27 14.4 27.4 64.2 0.0 39.1 4.17 61.6 64.2
Janelle Brown Janelle Brown G 27 21.9 6.1 2.9 3.1 1.7 0.1 2.1 5.3 6.5 218 21 10.4 20.5 41.7 32.8 63.9 -1.21 51.6 49.3
Christina Pham Christina Pham G 28 13.2 5.1 0.5 1.1 0.4 0.0 1.0 4.7 1.5 103 21 4.9 15.0 36.6 37.5 66.7 -1.4 53.1 52.7
Sydni Scott Sydni Scott G 33 20.4 5.0 1.5 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.7 4.5 3.0 269 27 10.0 20.7 37.2 35.6 87.5 -0.18 54.1 53.0
Lauren Beach Lauren Beach F 27 16.3 3.6 2.9 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.8 2.0 5.1 133 21 6.3 16.8 70.9 0.0 72.0 0.01 72.7 70.9
Milou van Vliet Milou van Vliet F 23 14.1 3.5 1.9 1.2 0.4 0.3 0.8 3.4 3.1 122 18 6.8 19.8 43.0 23.7 33.3 -1.11 48.1 48.7
Alli Campbell Alli Campbell G 24 14.2 2.6 1.8 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.5 2.6 2.8 119 21 5.7 16.4 31.7 27.8 94.4 -3.85 43.7 35.7
Keyarah Gregory Keyarah Gregory G 26 7.5 2.1 1.6 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.0 52 23 2.3 12.7 43.6 38.9 73.7 -2.33 58.1 52.6
Julia Karpell Julia Karpell G 19 4.0 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.3 -8 17 -0.5 -4.6 36.0 33.3 100.0 -3.8 55.1 52.0
Jalyn Sackrider Jalyn Sackrider F 10 3.0 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.2 9 8 1.1 12.5 20.0 0.0 83.3 -2.08 45.8 20.0
Casey Prior Casey Prior G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Selen Yusan Selen Yusan F 15 2.7 0.0 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 -0.1 -15 12 -1.2 -15.9 0.0 0.0 0 -4.37 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1969 located field-goal attempts in 33 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Coe28% L'Amoreaux24% Andersen31% Andersen75% L'Amoreaux57% Pham23% Andersen32% Andersen19% Huerter30% Andersen26%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Andersen26% Andersen27% L'Amoreaux26% L'Amoreaux50% L'Amoreaux30% Andersen21% Huerter28% L'Amoreaux19% Andersen30% L'Amoreaux26%
Misses: who misses most here

Meghan AndersenKaety L'AmoreauxJillian HuerterCyanne CoeChristina Pham

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 345-566 61.0 690 Cyanne Coe 28% (194 pts) Meghan Andersen 21% (146 pts) Meghan Andersen 26% (58 misses) Cyanne Coe 20% (45 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 156-333 46.8 312 Kaety L'Amoreaux 24% (76 pts) Cyanne Coe 21% (64 pts) Meghan Andersen 27% (48 misses) Kaety L'Amoreaux 17% (30 misses)
Mid-range left 13-32 40.6 26 Meghan Andersen 31% (8 pts) Jillian Huerter 23% (6 pts) Kaety L'Amoreaux 26% (5 misses) Jillian Huerter 21% (4 misses)
Mid-range center 4-8 50.0 8 Meghan Andersen 75% (6 pts) Milou van Vliet 25% (2 pts) Kaety L'Amoreaux 50% (2 misses) Alli Campbell 25% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 7-27 25.9 14 Kaety L'Amoreaux 57% (8 pts) Jalyn Sackrider 14% (2 pts) Kaety L'Amoreaux 30% (6 misses) Jillian Huerter 20% (4 misses)
Left corner 3 35-103 34.0 105 Christina Pham 23% (24 pts) Kaety L'Amoreaux 23% (24 pts) Meghan Andersen 21% (14 misses) Kaety L'Amoreaux 13% (9 misses)
Right corner 3 40-101 39.6 120 Meghan Andersen 32% (39 pts) Jillian Huerter 18% (21 pts) Jillian Huerter 28% (17 misses) Meghan Andersen 18% (11 misses)
Above-break 3 left 110-309 35.6 330 Meghan Andersen 19% (63 pts) Kaety L'Amoreaux 17% (57 pts) Kaety L'Amoreaux 19% (38 misses) Meghan Andersen 19% (38 misses)
Above-break 3 center 70-197 35.5 210 Jillian Huerter 30% (63 pts) Kaety L'Amoreaux 23% (48 pts) Meghan Andersen 30% (38 misses) Kaety L'Amoreaux 20% (25 misses)
Above-break 3 right 110-293 37.5 330 Meghan Andersen 26% (87 pts) Kaety L'Amoreaux 22% (72 pts) Kaety L'Amoreaux 26% (47 misses) Meghan Andersen 17% (32 misses)