Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Richmond Spiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | +6.8 | ✗ (26.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Richmond Spiders -20 (73-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Andersen | 34 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 17 | +19.6 |
| K. L'Amoreaux | 34 | 11-18 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 27 | +3.0 |
| J. Brown | 28 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 17 | +20.4 |
| C. Coe | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +11.9 |
| L. Beach | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +4.9 |
| M. van Vliet | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +5.0 |
| C. Pham | 18 | 6-9 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +4.2 |
| J. Huerter | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +7.6 |
| S. Scott | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0.7 |
| K. Gregory | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Doogan | 38 | 8-16 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 14 | -12.1 |
| A. Sweeney | 37 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | -11.7 |
| R. Ullstrom | 37 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | -5.9 |
| A. Persichetti | 22 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | +10.6 |
| A. Newell | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -13.9 |
| T. Simon | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -3.6 |
| S. Dewey | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -11.8 |
| R. Wright | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.1 |
| P. Richard | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.5 |
| A. Scott | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.2 |
| J. Green | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
| S. Campbell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1.4 |
* = starter