Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Siena Saints | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 98.1% | 1.9% | -21.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Siena Saints -30 (51-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaety L'Amoreaux | 33 | 5-12 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | +19.4 |
| Meghan Andersen | 30 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | +29.5 |
| Cyanne Coe | 25 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | +25.7 |
| Janelle Brown | 23 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | +7.2 |
| Jillian Huerter | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +10.9 |
| Sydni Scott | 16 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -1 | +2.9 |
| Christina Pham | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +17.5 |
| Alli Campbell | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.2 |
| Milou van Vliet | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -6.0 |
| Lauren Beach | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -6.0 |
| Keyarah Gregory | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +5.4 |
| Julia Karpell | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Selen Yusan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genevive Wedemeyer | 37 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 11-13 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 9 | -18.5 |
| Alden Yergey | 26 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -4 | -18.6 |
| Caydence Hadley | 25 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -22.7 |
| Nicole Melious | 23 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -4 | -8.4 |
| Olivia Watkins | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1.1 |
| Azera Gates | 20 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | -7.9 |
| Valencia Fontenelle-Posson | 18 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -14.3 |
| K. Tucker | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4.7 |
| Dallas Pierce | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -5.9 |
| Alexis Rosenfeld | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.3 |
* = starter