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Virginia Tech Hokies

Also known as: Virginia Tech Hokies
Program History

2026 Team Stats (33 games)

72.5
PPG
61.5
Opp
+10.9
Margin
40.6%
FG%
31.0%
3P%
73.9%
FT%
40.4
RPG
15.5
APG
13.3
TO
72.8
Est. poss./game
74.1
Adj PPG
55.7
Adj Opp PPG
#37
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1341 (#35) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1256 (#39) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More โ†’ 1095 (#70) HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More โ†’ +19.8 (#37) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +19.6 (#36) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.868 (#41) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +14.5 More โ†’ 0.868 (#41) NetEff +14.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +29.7 More โ†’ 0.969 (#37) AdjNet +29.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +30.4 More โ†’ 0.971 (#37) AdjNet +30.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 55.7 More โ†’ 0.842 (#37) AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 55.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 59.2 More โ†’ 0.725 (#39) AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 59.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.876 (#38) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.859 (#39) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 118 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1214 (#53) RD 118 | GP 33

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs Towson Tigers W 100 - 56
2025-11-09 vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 64 - 48
2025-11-13 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 87 - 51
2025-11-15 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 82 - 59
2025-11-20 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 83 - 46
2025-11-23 @ James Madison Dukes L 56 - 65
2025-11-27 vs BYU Cougars L 60 - 64
2025-11-29 @ Oregon State Beavers W 78 - 67
2025-12-04 vs Florida Gators W 68 - 64
2025-12-07 vs Duke Blue Devils L 54 - 70
2025-12-10 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 92 - 36
2025-12-14 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 73 - 55
2025-12-18 @ Florida State Seminoles W 79 - 54
2025-12-21 vs Radford Highlanders W 79 - 47
2026-01-01 vs Miami Hurricanes L 67 - 75
2026-01-04 @ Louisville Cardinals L 60 - 85
2026-01-08 @ Syracuse Orange W 77 - 57
2026-01-11 vs Boston College Eagles W 78 - 56
2026-01-15 @ SMU Mustangs W 79 - 42
2026-01-22 vs Clemson Tigers W 71 - 68
2026-01-24 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 85 - 57
2026-01-29 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 67 - 50
2026-02-01 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 76 - 64
2026-02-05 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 70 - 80
2026-02-08 vs NC State Wolfpack L 62 - 82
2026-02-12 @ Stanford Cardinal W 79 - 67
2026-02-15 @ California Golden Bears W 68 - 58
2026-02-19 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 63 - 66
2026-02-22 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 62 - 51
2026-03-01 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 83 - 82
2026-03-05 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 62 - 54
2026-03-06 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 68 - 85
2026-03-20 @ Oregon Ducks L 60 - 70

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Carleigh Wenzel Carleigh Wenzel G 33 30.9 15.1 3.5 3.4 0.9 0.5 3.0 13.5 6.8 191 28 6.8 9.3 33.3 32.6 76.8 0.66 47.5 40.3
Carys Baker Carys Baker F 33 32.6 14.3 6.9 1.3 0.5 1.1 1.1 12.6 10.4 225 28 8.0 10.2 42.9 37.9 75.4 2.57 53.1 50.8
Kilah Freelon Kilah Freelon F 32 26.4 9.5 8.5 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.7 7.1 12.8 181 27 6.7 10.5 51.3 0.0 75.5 2.19 56.6 51.3
Samyha Suffren Samyha Suffren G 32 20.9 8.8 3.3 1.5 1.5 0.1 1.8 8.2 5.2 163 27 6.0 12.2 42.0 25.0 78.3 2.2 48.2 43.5
Melannie Daley Melannie Daley G 33 19.7 8.1 2.8 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.8 7.5 4.3 201 28 7.2 15.4 44.2 25.0 73.8 2.77 48.4 44.6
Mackenzie Nelson Mackenzie Nelson G 32 30.1 8.0 3.3 5.7 1.4 0.1 2.1 7.2 9.2 214 27 7.9 11.0 38.7 29.2 73.7 3.1 48.4 43.3
Leila Wells Leila Wells G 33 15.8 3.5 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.8 3.9 2.3 140 28 5.0 13.1 33.1 25.0 55.6 1.75 40.2 38.1
Sophie Swanson Sophie Swanson G 21 7.1 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 2.9 -0.0 32 19 1.7 10.3 26.2 18.9 69.2 -2.39 36.0 32.0
Kayl Petersen Kayl Petersen F 32 10.7 2.2 2.8 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.6 2.2 3.6 140 27 5.2 21.9 35.7 15.8 85.7 4.14 44.8 37.9
Aniya Trent Aniya Trent F 29 9.9 1.8 2.4 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 1.3 3.5 62 25 2.5 10.4 63.2 0 27.3 0.14 59.5 63.2
Amani Jenkins Amani Jenkins F 15 6.7 1.5 2.0 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.5 1.1 3.1 29 11 2.6 15.9 62.5 0 42.9 -2.07 60.3 62.5
Spela Brecelj Spela Brecelj G 8 3.5 0.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.0 7 7 1.0 10.6 37.5 33.3 0 -1.54 43.8 43.8
Kate Sears Kate Sears G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Former Virginia Tech Hokies players in WNBA 2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Virginia Tech Hokies game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG
Georgia Amoore 2020-24 WNBA Washington Mystics 44 23.1 7.0 1.4 3.4

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-09-30 Georgia Amoore WNBA Playoffs Washington Mystics vs Atlanta Dream 28 2 5 4 Box
2026-09-27 Georgia Amoore WNBA Playoffs Washington Mystics @ Atlanta Dream 24 8 4 3 Box
2026-09-24 Georgia Amoore WNBA Washington Mystics vs Chicago Sky 23 14 1 1 Box
2026-05-02 K. Traylor WNBA Preseason Indiana Fever vs NIGERIA 11 5 1 1 Box
2026-04-30 K. Traylor WNBA Preseason Indiana Fever vs Dallas Wings 11 8 0 0 Box
2026-04-29 Dara Mabrey WNBA Preseason Toronto Tempo vs Connecticut Sun 14 0 3 1 Box
2026-04-29 Aisha Sheppard WNBA Preseason Phoenix Mercury vs Japan 7 2 0 2 Box
2026-04-27 Lani White WNBA Preseason Minnesota Lynx vs Nigeria 10 11 2 0 Box
2026-04-25 Lani White WNBA Preseason Minnesota Lynx @ Washington Mystics 8 1 0 0 Box
2026-04-25 K. Traylor WNBA Preseason Indiana Fever @ New York Liberty 13 9 0 1 Box
2026-04-25 Ashley Owusu WNBA Preseason New York Liberty vs Indiana Fever 13 2 3 1 Box
2026-04-25 Aisha Sheppard WNBA Preseason Phoenix Mercury vs Chicago Sky 6 3 1 0 Box

2025-2026 Shot Zones

2151 located field-goal attempts in 33 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Freelon22% Freelon18% Daley41% Daley40% Daley32% Wenzel35% Wenzel22% Wenzel35% Baker48% Baker40%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Wenzel17% Wenzel21% Daley30% Suffren35% Daley31% Wenzel21% Baker31% Wenzel39% Baker33% Wenzel33%
Misses: who misses most here

Carys BakerCarleigh WenzelKilah FreelonSamyha SuffrenMelannie Daley

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 334-575 58.1 668 Kilah Freelon 22% (144 pts) Carys Baker 15% (98 pts) Carleigh Wenzel 17% (42 misses) Carys Baker 15% (37 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 194-490 39.6 388 Kilah Freelon 18% (70 pts) Carys Baker 17% (66 pts) Carleigh Wenzel 21% (63 misses) Kilah Freelon 16% (48 misses)
Mid-range left 74-211 35.1 148 Melannie Daley 41% (60 pts) Carys Baker 23% (34 pts) Melannie Daley 30% (41 misses) Carys Baker 21% (29 misses)
Mid-range center 30-98 30.6 60 Melannie Daley 40% (24 pts) Samyha Suffren 23% (14 pts) Samyha Suffren 35% (24 misses) Melannie Daley 24% (16 misses)
Mid-range right 57-183 31.1 114 Melannie Daley 32% (36 pts) Carleigh Wenzel 18% (20 pts) Melannie Daley 31% (39 misses) Carleigh Wenzel 20% (25 misses)
Left corner 3 20-48 41.7 60 Carleigh Wenzel 35% (21 pts) Carys Baker 30% (18 pts) Carleigh Wenzel 21% (6 misses) Carys Baker 21% (6 misses)
Right corner 3 9-35 25.7 27 Carleigh Wenzel 22% (6 pts) Carys Baker 22% (6 pts) Carys Baker 31% (8 misses) Carleigh Wenzel 19% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 left 66-224 29.5 198 Carleigh Wenzel 35% (69 pts) Carys Baker 30% (60 pts) Carleigh Wenzel 39% (61 misses) Carys Baker 22% (34 misses)
Above-break 3 center 31-89 34.8 93 Carys Baker 48% (45 pts) Carleigh Wenzel 45% (42 pts) Carys Baker 33% (19 misses) Carleigh Wenzel 22% (13 misses)
Above-break 3 right 58-198 29.3 174 Carys Baker 40% (69 pts) Carleigh Wenzel 29% (51 pts) Carleigh Wenzel 33% (46 misses) Carys Baker 30% (42 misses)