Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.0% | 59.0% | +2.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +12 (76-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Johnson | 38 | 6-16 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | -13.4 |
| C. Weimar | 32 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -6.7 |
| S. Smith | 31 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | -4.3 |
| G. White | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 10 | -10.7 |
| P. Clark | 24 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | -2.8 |
| J. Brown | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -6.1 |
| R. Levy | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +3.0 |
| T. Amanze | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -2.4 |
| B. Hurd | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1.9 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Wenzel | 36 | 5-18 | 1-4 | 12-20 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 15 | +7.9 |
| M. Nelson | 34 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 8-12 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | +21.4 |
| C. Baker | 33 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +15.1 |
| S. Suffren | 28 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +15.6 |
| K. Freelon | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +11.1 |
| L. Wells | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +5.0 |
| A. Trent | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -1.5 |
| K. Petersen | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +5.1 |
| M. Daley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.5 |
* = starter