Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | +0.6 | ✗ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty -18 (91-109). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monique Billings * | 21 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 17 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Caitlin Clark * | 17 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham * | 14 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Makayla Timpson | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 22 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| R. Johnson | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | - |
| J. Timmons | 14 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Kayana Traylor | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| M. McConnell | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Justine Pissott | 10 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebekah Gardner * | 21 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Sabrina Ionescu * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Jonquel Jones * | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Breanna Stewart * | 12 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Anneli Maley | 30 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 7 | - |
| N. Pryor | 24 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Alex Fowler | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Han Xu | 22 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| D. Erdogan | 14 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| A. Owusu | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter