Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.9% | 37.1% | -2.9 | ✓ (17.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -20 (62-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Brooks | 37 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 13-14 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 24 | +17.9 |
| Z. Jones | 36 | 6-15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 5 | +7.3 |
| K. Pierre | 33 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 21 | +16.2 |
| T. Trygger | 32 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +5.5 |
| D. Lunan | 19 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +15.1 |
| D. Quigley | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +15.7 |
| M. Cox | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +10.9 |
| Q. Samuels | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -5.9 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Freelon | 39 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 23 | -10.2 |
| C. Wenzel | 38 | 8-19 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 2 | -2.5 |
| C. Baker | 35 | 4-16 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -11.7 |
| M. Nelson | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | -15.0 |
| S. Suffren | 23 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -2 | -0.1 |
| L. Wells | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7.9 |
| S. Swanson | 10 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -0.0 |
| M. Daley | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -11.3 |
| K. Petersen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.8 |
| A. Trent | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 |
* = starter