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2026-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 39.1% 60.9% -
Bradley-Terry 48.9% 51.1% -
Margin 38.1% 61.9% +2.7 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 48.3% 51.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.0% 54.0% -
Log Adjusted 45.6% 54.4% -
Points Off/Def 42.8% 57.2% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -1 (82-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Wenzel 39 8-19 4-13 9-10 4 4 3 1 4 29 18 -
C. Baker 37 5-12 4-8 2-2 7 1 0 3 0 16 15 -
M. Nelson 37 3-6 1-2 3-4 6 11 1 0 1 10 21 -
K. Freelon 23 4-7 0-1 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 10 7 -
M. Daley 18 4-10 0-0 3-4 3 0 2 0 1 11 5 -
L. Wells 14 2-8 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 -3 -
A. Trent 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 0 3 -
S. Suffren 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
K. Petersen 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 3 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Johnson 40 9-21 3-9 5-6 7 6 1 0 2 26 17 -
P. Clark 37 7-13 0-2 2-3 4 4 2 0 2 16 11 -
R. Levy 30 4-6 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 3 8 6 -
T. Amanze 29 4-5 0-0 3-6 7 0 0 2 2 11 13 -
S. Smith 25 3-7 0-1 4-4 6 2 0 1 2 10 10 -
C. Weimar 23 0-1 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
B. Hurd 10 3-4 1-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 9 6 -
J. Brown 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Ring 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
G. White 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter