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2026-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies California Golden Bears Spread Result
Elo 43.8% 56.2% -
Bradley-Terry 60.3% 39.7% -
Margin 54.0% 46.0% -0.9 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% -
Efficiency 77.8% 22.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.4% 34.6% -
Log Adjusted 65.1% 34.9% -
Points Off/Def 51.2% 48.8% -

Actual: California Golden Bears -10 (58-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Baker 34 4-8 0-1 2-2 5 0 0 1 2 10 6 -
K. Freelon 34 4-9 0-0 4-4 10 2 4 1 2 12 18 -
C. Wenzel 30 2-10 1-3 10-10 3 1 0 1 4 15 6 -
S. Suffren 30 7-12 0-0 5-7 3 1 1 0 2 19 10 -
M. Daley 25 3-6 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 8 6 -
M. Nelson 23 1-4 0-1 1-2 3 4 3 0 2 3 7 -
L. Wells 12 0-3 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 -
A. Trent 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 0 2 -
K. Petersen 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

California Golden Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Twidale 38 1-8 0-5 2-2 4 4 0 0 7 4 -3 -
G. Maul 37 1-8 0-5 8-9 4 3 1 1 3 10 8 -
A. Morris 31 4-12 3-5 4-5 3 1 1 1 4 15 5 -
M. Sheppard 22 0-2 0-0 1-4 7 1 2 0 1 1 8 -
L. Donez 18 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
N. Ojukwu 18 4-5 0-0 3-3 4 0 0 0 1 11 9 -
S. Walker 15 5-6 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 4 11 3 -
C. Langarita 13 1-2 0-0 0-2 1 2 0 1 2 2 2 -
G. McCallop 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter