NC State
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1342 (#35) | Preseason prior 1360 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1161, returning +152, transfers +47, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1197 (#47) | HCA +185 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1099 (#54) | HCA +185 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +22.2 (#39) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +21.9 (#38) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.946 (#48) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.925 (#25) | AdjNet +29.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.931 (#26) | AdjNet +31.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.791 (#45) | AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 59.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.755 (#44) | AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 59.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.860 (#36) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.855 (#37) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1236 (#40) | RD 167 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.913 (#35) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Wofford Terriers | W | 80 - 50 |
| 2026-11-04 | vs | Campbell Fighting Camels | W | 80 - 45 |
| 2026-11-08 | vs | Kentucky Wildcats | L | 78 - 93 |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | Liberty Flames | W | 71 - 47 |
| 2026-11-15 | @ | Seton Hall Pirates | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-19 | vs | Georgetown Hoyas | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Khamil Pierre
|
F | 4 | 30.8 | 22.2 | 8.5 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 17.0 | 75 | 4 | 18.8 | 24.5 | 50.0 | 20.0 | 69.0 | 5.92 | 55.1 | 50.7 |
Zoe Brooks
|
G | 3 | 25.0 | 17.3 | 3.3 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 10.7 | 13.7 | 53 | 3 | 17.7 | 28.2 | 56.2 | 50.0 | 70.6 | 2.2 | 65.9 | 62.5 |
Destiny Lunan
|
G | 4 | 26.5 | 9.2 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 7.5 | 7.8 | 52 | 4 | 13.0 | 19.6 | 46.7 | 46.7 | 28.6 | 1.19 | 55.9 | 58.3 |
Desiree Wooten
|
G | 4 | 33.5 | 7.2 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 8.8 | 7.0 | 70 | 4 | 17.5 | 20.9 | 31.4 | 23.1 | 100.0 | 5.14 | 39.4 | 35.7 |
Khady Leye
|
F | 4 | 19.8 | 6.2 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 5.2 | 6.0 | 57 | 4 | 14.2 | 28.9 | 47.6 | 0.0 | 55.6 | 4.58 | 50.1 | 47.6 |
Qadence Samuels
|
G | 4 | 26.0 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 6.5 | 7.8 | 44 | 4 | 11.0 | 16.9 | 38.5 | 21.4 | 40.0 | 2.4 | 44.3 | 44.2 |
Annsley Trivette
|
F | 4 | 11.5 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 4.8 | 17 | 4 | 4.2 | 14.5 | 71.4 | 100.0 | 66.7 | -1.23 | 75.1 | 75.0 |
Kamora Pruitt
|
G | 4 | 16.0 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 8 | 4 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 37.5 | 30.0 | 60.0 | 0.02 | 49.5 | 46.9 |
Adelaide Jernigan
|
G | 3 | 7.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 2.3 | -9 | 3 | -3.0 | -15.6 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 25.0 | -5.43 | 38.7 | 41.7 |
Maddie Cox
|
F | 4 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 15 | 4 | 3.8 | 17.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.6 | 34.7 | 0.0 |
Favour Ossai
|
F | 2 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -5 | 2 | -2.5 | -39.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 25.0 | -1.37 | 18.1 | 0.0 |
Audrey Ericksen
|
G | 2 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -7 | 2 | -3.5 | -42.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.64 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former NC State players in WNBA 2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last NC State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saniya Rivers | 2022-25 | WNBA | Connecticut Sun | 38 | 22.6 | 6.9 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 09-20 0 pts, 0 reb, 1 ast | no games |
| Aziaha James | 2021-25 | WNBA | Dallas Wings | 39 | 11.8 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 10-02 2 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast Playoffs | no games |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Aziaha James | WNBA Playoffs | Dallas Wings | @ Golden State Valkyries | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-09-30 | Aziaha James | WNBA Playoffs | Dallas Wings | vs Golden State Valkyries | 18 | 13 | 2 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-09-27 | Aziaha James | WNBA Playoffs | Dallas Wings | @ Golden State Valkyries | 13 | 7 | 0 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-09-20 | Saniya Rivers | WNBA | Connecticut Sun | vs Minnesota Lynx | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-09-17 | Saniya Rivers | WNBA | Connecticut Sun | @ Atlanta Dream | 34 | 9 | 9 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-08-30 | Saniya Rivers | WNBA | Connecticut Sun | @ Dallas Wings | 26 | 8 | 3 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-05-03 | Madison Hayes | WNBA Preseason | Connecticut Sun | vs New York Liberty | 11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-05-02 | Jessica Timmons | WNBA Preseason | Indiana Fever | vs NIGERIA | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-04-30 | Jessica Timmons | WNBA Preseason | Indiana Fever | vs Dallas Wings | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-04-29 | Madison Hayes | WNBA Preseason | Connecticut Sun | @ Toronto Tempo | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-04-25 | Jessica Timmons | WNBA Preseason | Indiana Fever | @ New York Liberty | 14 | 10 | 0 | 1 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
233 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Khamil PierreZoe BrooksDestiny LunanQadence SamuelsDesiree WootenKamora PruittAdelaide Jernigan
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 57-84 | 67.9 | 114 | Khamil Pierre 40% (46 pts) | Zoe Brooks 14% (16 pts) | Khamil Pierre 33% (9 misses) | Khady Leye 19% (5 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 18-46 | 39.1 | 36 | Khamil Pierre 28% (10 pts) | Destiny Lunan 11% (4 pts) | Khamil Pierre 36% (10 misses) | Zoe Brooks 18% (5 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 5-10 | 50.0 | 10 | Zoe Brooks 40% (4 pts) | Desiree Wooten 20% (2 pts) | Khamil Pierre 40% (2 misses) | Desiree Wooten 20% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-9 | 22.2 | 4 | Zoe Brooks 100% (4 pts) | - | Zoe Brooks 43% (3 misses) | Desiree Wooten 29% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 4-15 | 26.7 | 8 | Khamil Pierre 75% (6 pts) | Annsley Trivette 25% (2 pts) | Khamil Pierre 45% (5 misses) | Desiree Wooten 27% (3 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 1-6 | 16.7 | 3 | Qadence Samuels 100% (3 pts) | - | Adelaide Jernigan 20% (1 misses) | Desiree Wooten 20% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 3-7 | 42.9 | 9 | Desiree Wooten 33% (3 pts) | Destiny Lunan 33% (3 pts) | Adelaide Jernigan 25% (1 misses) | Desiree Wooten 25% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 7-24 | 29.2 | 21 | Destiny Lunan 71% (15 pts) | Khamil Pierre 14% (3 pts) | Qadence Samuels 41% (7 misses) | Khamil Pierre 18% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 3-12 | 25.0 | 9 | Zoe Brooks 67% (6 pts) | Qadence Samuels 33% (3 pts) | Destiny Lunan 33% (3 misses) | Kamora Pruitt 33% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 7-20 | 35.0 | 21 | Kamora Pruitt 29% (6 pts) | Adelaide Jernigan 14% (3 pts) | Desiree Wooten 31% (4 misses) | Zoe Brooks 23% (3 misses) |