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NC State

2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)

77.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
45.8%
FG%
30.3%
3P%
60.9%
FT%
39.0
RPG
11.3
APG
10.0
TO
69.9
Est. poss./game
70.3
Adj PPG
59.1
Adj Opp PPG
#45
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1360 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1161, returning +152, transfers +47, freshmen +0 More โ†’ 1342 (#35) Preseason prior 1360 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1161, returning +152, transfers +47, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +185 elo More โ†’ 1197 (#47) HCA +185 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +185 elo More โ†’ 1099 (#54) HCA +185 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +22.2 (#39) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +21.9 (#38) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.946 (#48) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +29.8 More โ†’ 0.925 (#25) AdjNet +29.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +31.1 More โ†’ 0.931 (#26) AdjNet +31.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 59.1 More โ†’ 0.791 (#45) AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 59.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 59.1 More โ†’ 0.755 (#44) AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 59.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.860 (#36) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.855 (#37) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 167 | GP 4 More โ†’ 1236 (#40) RD 167 | GP 4
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.913 (#35) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Wofford Terriers W 80 - 50
2026-11-04 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 80 - 45
2026-11-08 vs Kentucky Wildcats L 78 - 93
2026-11-11 vs Liberty Flames W 71 - 47
2026-11-15 @ Seton Hall Pirates - Preview
2026-11-19 vs Georgetown Hoyas - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Khamil Pierre Khamil Pierre F 4 30.8 22.2 8.5 1.2 2.5 0.5 1.0 17.0 17.0 75 4 18.8 24.5 50.0 20.0 69.0 5.92 55.1 50.7
Zoe Brooks Zoe Brooks G 3 25.0 17.3 3.3 4.3 2.0 0.0 2.7 10.7 13.7 53 3 17.7 28.2 56.2 50.0 70.6 2.2 65.9 62.5
Destiny Lunan Destiny Lunan G 4 26.5 9.2 3.5 1.2 2.8 0.0 1.5 7.5 7.8 52 4 13.0 19.6 46.7 46.7 28.6 1.19 55.9 58.3
Desiree Wooten Desiree Wooten G 4 33.5 7.2 4.0 3.5 2.2 0.2 1.5 8.8 7.0 70 4 17.5 20.9 31.4 23.1 100.0 5.14 39.4 35.7
Khady Leye Khady Leye F 4 19.8 6.2 4.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 1.0 5.2 6.0 57 4 14.2 28.9 47.6 0.0 55.6 4.58 50.1 47.6
Qadence Samuels Qadence Samuels G 4 26.0 6.2 6.2 0.0 1.8 0.5 0.5 6.5 7.8 44 4 11.0 16.9 38.5 21.4 40.0 2.4 44.3 44.2
Annsley Trivette Annsley Trivette F 4 11.5 6.2 3.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.5 3.5 4.8 17 4 4.2 14.5 71.4 100.0 66.7 -1.23 75.1 75.0
Kamora Pruitt Kamora Pruitt G 4 16.0 4.5 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 4.0 2.5 8 4 2.0 5.0 37.5 30.0 60.0 0.02 49.5 46.9
Adelaide Jernigan Adelaide Jernigan G 3 7.7 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.3 -9 3 -3.0 -15.6 33.3 25.0 25.0 -5.43 38.7 41.7
Maddie Cox Maddie Cox F 4 8.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 15 4 3.8 17.7 0.0 0.0 100.0 -0.6 34.7 0.0
Favour Ossai Favour Ossai F 2 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 -5 2 -2.5 -39.7 0.0 0 25.0 -1.37 18.1 0.0
Audrey Ericksen Audrey Ericksen G 2 3.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -7 2 -3.5 -42.3 0 0 0 -2.64 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former NC State players in WNBA 2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last NC State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG Last game Last 30 days
Saniya Rivers 2022-25 WNBA Connecticut Sun 38 22.6 6.9 2.5 3.1 09-20 0 pts, 0 reb, 1 ast no games
Aziaha James 2021-25 WNBA Dallas Wings 39 11.8 6.1 2.4 1.3 10-02 2 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast Playoffs no games

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-10-02 Aziaha James WNBA Playoffs Dallas Wings @ Golden State Valkyries 8 2 0 0 Box
2026-09-30 Aziaha James WNBA Playoffs Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries 18 13 2 0 Box
2026-09-27 Aziaha James WNBA Playoffs Dallas Wings @ Golden State Valkyries 13 7 0 2 Box
2026-09-20 Saniya Rivers WNBA Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx 5 0 0 1 Box
2026-09-17 Saniya Rivers WNBA Connecticut Sun @ Atlanta Dream 34 9 9 1 Box
2026-08-30 Saniya Rivers WNBA Connecticut Sun @ Dallas Wings 26 8 3 4 Box
2026-05-03 Madison Hayes WNBA Preseason Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty 11 2 4 0 Box
2026-05-02 Jessica Timmons WNBA Preseason Indiana Fever vs NIGERIA 13 3 1 1 Box
2026-04-30 Jessica Timmons WNBA Preseason Indiana Fever vs Dallas Wings 11 3 1 0 Box
2026-04-29 Madison Hayes WNBA Preseason Connecticut Sun @ Toronto Tempo 6 0 0 1 Box
2026-04-25 Jessica Timmons WNBA Preseason Indiana Fever @ New York Liberty 14 10 0 1 Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

233 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Pierre40% Pierre28% Brooks40% Brooks100% Pierre75% Samuels100% Wooten33% Lunan71% Brooks67% Pruitt29%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Pierre33% Pierre36% Pierre40% Brooks43% Pierre45% Jernigan20% Jernigan25% Samuels41% Lunan33% Wooten31%
Misses: who misses most here

Khamil PierreZoe BrooksDestiny LunanQadence SamuelsDesiree WootenKamora PruittAdelaide Jernigan

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 57-84 67.9 114 Khamil Pierre 40% (46 pts) Zoe Brooks 14% (16 pts) Khamil Pierre 33% (9 misses) Khady Leye 19% (5 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 18-46 39.1 36 Khamil Pierre 28% (10 pts) Destiny Lunan 11% (4 pts) Khamil Pierre 36% (10 misses) Zoe Brooks 18% (5 misses)
Mid-range left 5-10 50.0 10 Zoe Brooks 40% (4 pts) Desiree Wooten 20% (2 pts) Khamil Pierre 40% (2 misses) Desiree Wooten 20% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 2-9 22.2 4 Zoe Brooks 100% (4 pts) - Zoe Brooks 43% (3 misses) Desiree Wooten 29% (2 misses)
Mid-range right 4-15 26.7 8 Khamil Pierre 75% (6 pts) Annsley Trivette 25% (2 pts) Khamil Pierre 45% (5 misses) Desiree Wooten 27% (3 misses)
Left corner 3 1-6 16.7 3 Qadence Samuels 100% (3 pts) - Adelaide Jernigan 20% (1 misses) Desiree Wooten 20% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 3-7 42.9 9 Desiree Wooten 33% (3 pts) Destiny Lunan 33% (3 pts) Adelaide Jernigan 25% (1 misses) Desiree Wooten 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 7-24 29.2 21 Destiny Lunan 71% (15 pts) Khamil Pierre 14% (3 pts) Qadence Samuels 41% (7 misses) Khamil Pierre 18% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center 3-12 25.0 9 Zoe Brooks 67% (6 pts) Qadence Samuels 33% (3 pts) Destiny Lunan 33% (3 misses) Kamora Pruitt 33% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 right 7-20 35.0 21 Kamora Pruitt 29% (6 pts) Adelaide Jernigan 14% (3 pts) Desiree Wooten 31% (4 misses) Zoe Brooks 23% (3 misses)