Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.1% | 27.9% | -10.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -12 (67-79). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marine Johannes * | 29 | 4-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Rebekah Gardner * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Jonquel Jones * | 21 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Breanna Stewart * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Sabrina Ionescu * | 16 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Anneli Maley | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Pauline Astier | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| D. Erdogan | 18 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Han Xu | 15 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Alex Fowler | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennedy Burke * | 24 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Saniya Rivers * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 21 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Diamond Miller * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Aneesah Morrow * | 16 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Gianna Kneepkens | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Raegan Beers | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| H. Turner | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| M. Hayes | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Bigby | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Oldacre | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter