Louisville Cardinals

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017

Also known as: Louisville Cardinals

Program History

2026 Team Stats (37 games)

78.7

PPG

61.0

Opp

+17.7

Margin

45.8%

FG%

34.3%

3P%

71.6%

FT%

40.9

RPG

16.9

APG

13.4

71.9

Est. poss./game

82.3

Adj PPG

52.4

Adj Opp PPG

#10

Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	1428 (#17)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	1350 (#15)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More →	1130 (#38)	HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More →	+31.8 (#10)	HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More →	+28.5 (#15)	HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.949 (#12)	-
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +23.9 More →	0.949 (#12)	NetEff +23.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +45.3 More →	0.995 (#12)	AdjNet +45.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +46.6 More →	0.995 (#12)	AdjNet +46.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.3 \| AdjD 52.4 More →	0.938 (#10)	AdjO 82.3 \| AdjD 52.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.5 \| AdjD 56.0 More →	0.844 (#15)	AdjO 74.5 \| AdjD 56.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.950 (#14)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.939 (#15)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 \| GP 37 More →	1323 (#17)	RD 99 \| GP 37

2026 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2025-11-04	@	UConn Huskies	L	66 - 79
2025-11-09	vs	Northern Kentucky Norse	W	89 - 61
2025-11-12	vs	Colorado Buffaloes	W	74 - 68
2025-11-16	@	Clemson Tigers	W	65 - 54
2025-11-19	vs	Morehead State Eagles	W	96 - 49
2025-11-22	vs	Kentucky Wildcats	L	62 - 72
2025-11-28	vs	Eastern Illinois Panthers	W	91 - 38
2025-11-29	@	East Tennessee State Buccaneers	W	88 - 50
2025-11-30	vs	Bellarmine Knights	W	100 - 37
2025-12-04	vs	South Carolina Gamecocks	L	77 - 79
2025-12-07	vs	New Hampshire Wildcats	W	94 - 43
2025-12-10	vs	Ball State Cardinals	W	93 - 62
2025-12-14	@	North Carolina Tar Heels	W	76 - 66
2025-12-17	vs	Eastern Kentucky Colonels	W	76 - 51
2025-12-20	vs	Tennessee Lady Volunteers	W	89 - 65
2026-01-01	vs	SMU Mustangs	W	91 - 58
2026-01-04	vs	Virginia Tech Hokies	W	85 - 60
2026-01-08	@	Miami Hurricanes	W	77 - 68
2026-01-11	vs	Pittsburgh Panthers	W	86 - 46
2026-01-15	@	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	W	79 - 66
2026-01-18	@	NC State Wolfpack	W	88 - 80
2026-01-24	vs	Boston College Eagles	W	85 - 56
2026-01-29	@	Stanford Cardinal	W	84 - 66
2026-02-01	@	California Golden Bears	W	71 - 59
2026-02-05	vs	Duke Blue Devils	L	58 - 59
2026-02-08	@	Syracuse Orange	W	84 - 65
2026-02-12	vs	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	W	86 - 67
2026-02-15	vs	Florida State Seminoles	W	88 - 65
2026-02-22	vs	Virginia Cavaliers	L	72 - 74
2026-02-26	@	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	W	69 - 50
2026-03-01	vs	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	L	62 - 65
2026-03-06	vs	Syracuse Orange	W	87 - 61
2026-03-07	vs	North Carolina Tar Heels	W	65 - 57
2026-03-08	@	Duke Blue Devils	L	65 - 70
2026-03-21	vs	Vermont Catamounts	W	72 - 52
2026-03-23	vs	Alabama Crimson Tide	W	69 - 68
2026-03-28	@	Michigan Wolverines	L	52 - 71

2026 Roster

Show Alumni

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM GP	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Tajianna Roberts	G	37	29.1	11.5	2.4	3.1	1.4	0.1	1.8	11.0	5.6	-	-	-	-	38.9	35.3	75.4	-	49.2	46.9
Laura Ziegler	F	37	28.2	11.0	6.9	2.9	0.6	0.5	1.5	9.5	10.9	-	-	-	-	45.2	36.1	91.1	-	54.7	52.0
Imari Berry	G	37	23.5	10.9	4.8	2.7	1.5	0.5	1.4	9.1	9.8	-	-	-	-	43.8	37.1	80.9	-	54.9	51.6
Elif Istanbulluoglu	F	36	26.4	10.1	5.1	1.7	0.8	0.2	1.4	7.8	8.7	-	-	-	-	50.4	34.5	69.6	-	57.9	55.7
Mackenly Randolph	F	37	25.0	8.5	5.6	1.5	1.0	0.4	1.1	6.2	9.6	-	-	-	-	53.0	32.8	79.7	-	60.8	57.2
Skylar Jones	G	34	16.6	8.4	2.9	1.0	1.5	0.0	1.2	6.9	5.8	-	-	-	-	44.6	30.8	74.0	-	53.4	48.9
James Scott	G	37	24.2	8.2	2.4	2.8	1.2	0.4	2.2	7.0	5.9	-	-	-	-	45.3	34.0	73.9	-	52.5	48.8
Anaya Hardy	F	35	11.4	4.9	4.2	0.2	0.5	0.3	0.4	3.1	6.5	-	-	-	-	66.7	0	38.2	-	61.6	66.7
Peyton Bradley	G	9	8.9	3.8	1.1	0.8	0.3	0.0	0.6	3.8	1.7	-	-	-	-	35.3	30.8	100.0	-	48.7	47.1
Reagan Bender	G	20	10.7	3.2	1.4	1.1	0.7	0.1	0.7	2.5	3.2	-	-	-	-	40.8	36.1	64.7	-	56.7	54.1
Grace Mbugua	F	18	7.4	3.0	3.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.9	2.9	3.3	-	-	-	-	42.3	20.0	66.7	-	47.1	44.2
Yevheniia Putra	F	24	9.3	2.5	2.4	0.4	0.4	0.2	1.1	2.5	2.4	-	-	-	-	45.8	0	63.6	-	47.8	45.8
Rebekah Graves	G	20	5.0	1.4	0.4	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.3	1.8	0.1	-	-	-	-	33.3	20.0	0	-	40.3	40.3
Isla Juffermans	F	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Former Louisville Cardinals players in WNBA 2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Louisville Cardinals game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player	At School	League	Team	GP	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG
Sydney Taylor	2023-24	WNBA	Chicago Sky	37	20.6	13.6	1.7	2.0
E. Engstler	2021-22	WNBA	Portland Fire	44	24.7	10.1	5.7	2.1
H. Van Lith	2020-23	WNBA	Connecticut Sun	22	15.8	5.5	1.6	2.1
Myisha Hines-Allen	2014-18	WNBA	Indiana Fever	38	13.8	3.8	3.3	1.5
Dana Evans	2017-21	WNBA	Las Vegas Aces	14	15.3	3.6	1.4	2.1
Laura Ziegler	2025-26	WNBA	Los Angeles Sparks	3	9.7	2.7	1.3	1.0

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date	Player	League	Team	Opponent	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	Box
2026-10-09	Dana Evans	WNBA Playoffs	Las Vegas Aces	vs Golden State Valkyries	27	8	3	2	Box
2026-10-07	Dana Evans	WNBA Playoffs	Las Vegas Aces	@ Golden State Valkyries	18	5	0	2	Box
2026-10-01	Myisha Hines-Allen	WNBA Playoffs	Indiana Fever	@ Las Vegas Aces	20	12	12	1	Box
2026-09-29	Myisha Hines-Allen	WNBA Playoffs	Indiana Fever	vs Las Vegas Aces	13	2	5	1	Box
2026-09-24	Sydney Taylor	WNBA	Chicago Sky	@ Washington Mystics	24	16	2	4	Box
2026-09-24	Myisha Hines-Allen	WNBA	Indiana Fever	@ Minnesota Lynx	19	6	2	1	Box
2026-09-24	H. Van Lith	WNBA	Connecticut Sun	vs Toronto Tempo	28	12	9	8	Box
2026-09-22	Sydney Taylor	WNBA	Chicago Sky	vs Toronto Tempo	25	18	6	4	Box
2026-09-22	E. Engstler	WNBA	Portland Fire	vs Golden State Valkyries	34	11	11	0	Box
2026-09-22	Dana Evans	WNBA	Las Vegas Aces	vs Los Angeles Sparks	15	3	0	3	Box
2026-09-20	H. Van Lith	WNBA	Connecticut Sun	vs Minnesota Lynx	13	2	2	2	Box
2026-09-20	E. Engstler	WNBA	Portland Fire	@ Los Angeles Sparks	22	10	3	2	Box
2026-09-19	Sydney Taylor	WNBA	Chicago Sky	@ Atlanta Dream	23	2	4	3	Box
2026-09-18	E. Engstler	WNBA	Portland Fire	@ Golden State Valkyries	20	3	9	1	Box
2026-09-17	H. Van Lith	WNBA	Connecticut Sun	@ Atlanta Dream	19	2	0	2	Box
2026-06-27	Laura Ziegler	WNBA	Los Angeles Sparks	@ Indiana Fever	8	4	1	0	Box
2026-06-25	Laura Ziegler	WNBA	Los Angeles Sparks	@ Toronto Tempo	11	0	2	2	Box
2026-06-21	Laura Ziegler	WNBA	Los Angeles Sparks	vs New York Liberty	10	4	1	1	Box
2026-05-01	E. Balogun	WNBA Preseason	Toronto Tempo	@ Minnesota Lynx	15	12	1	0	Box
2026-04-29	Jalyn Brown	WNBA Preseason	Seattle Storm	vs Portland Fire	4	0	3	1	Box
2026-04-29	E. Balogun	WNBA Preseason	Toronto Tempo	vs Connecticut Sun	15	6	4	0	Box
2026-04-25	Nyla Harris	WNBA Preseason	Washington Mystics	vs Minnesota Lynx	11	4	2	0	Box

2025-2026 Shot Zones

2449 located field-goal attempts in 37 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Points: who the team's points here most likely come from

Misses: who misses most here

Tajianna RobertsLaura ZieglerImari BerryElif IstanbulluogluSkylar Jones

Zone	FGM-FGA	FG%	Pts	Top scorer	Runner-up	Most misses	Runner-up
Restricted area	331-482	68.7	662	Elif Istanbulluoglu 15% (98 pts)	Anaya Hardy 13% (88 pts)	Skylar Jones 17% (25 misses)	James Scott 13% (19 misses)
Paint (non-RA)	343-676	50.7	686	Elif Istanbulluoglu 15% (106 pts)	Mackenly Randolph 15% (102 pts)	Elif Istanbulluoglu 14% (46 misses)	Skylar Jones 14% (45 misses)
Mid-range left	53-161	32.9	106	Imari Berry 25% (26 pts)	Laura Ziegler 25% (26 pts)	Tajianna Roberts 22% (24 misses)	Imari Berry 19% (21 misses)
Mid-range center	34-99	34.3	68	Tajianna Roberts 24% (16 pts)	Mackenly Randolph 18% (12 pts)	Tajianna Roberts 29% (19 misses)	James Scott 20% (13 misses)
Mid-range right	77-204	37.7	154	Imari Berry 29% (44 pts)	Tajianna Roberts 23% (36 pts)	Tajianna Roberts 24% (31 misses)	Imari Berry 20% (25 misses)
Left corner 3	37-83	44.6	111	Imari Berry 24% (27 pts)	Tajianna Roberts 19% (21 pts)	Imari Berry 24% (11 misses)	Skylar Jones 17% (8 misses)
Right corner 3	23-78	29.5	69	Imari Berry 35% (24 pts)	Reagan Bender 17% (12 pts)	Tajianna Roberts 18% (10 misses)	Imari Berry 16% (9 misses)
Above-break 3 left	83-258	32.2	249	Tajianna Roberts 28% (69 pts)	Laura Ziegler 17% (42 pts)	Tajianna Roberts 25% (44 misses)	Imari Berry 18% (31 misses)
Above-break 3 center	49-145	33.8	147	Elif Istanbulluoglu 22% (33 pts)	Laura Ziegler 22% (33 pts)	Laura Ziegler 32% (31 misses)	Tajianna Roberts 18% (17 misses)
Above-break 3 right	91-263	34.6	273	Tajianna Roberts 24% (66 pts)	Laura Ziegler 23% (63 pts)	Tajianna Roberts 27% (47 misses)	Imari Berry 16% (28 misses)