Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017

Also known as: Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Program History

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

74.3

PPG

74.0

Opp

+0.3

Margin

40.8%

FG%

31.3%

3P%

75.4%

FT%

38.4

RPG

11.2

APG

13.6

74.2

Est. poss./game

70.0

Adj PPG

71.9

Adj Opp PPG

#184

Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	964 (#197)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	996 (#185)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More →	979 (#211)	HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More →	-1.9 (#183)	HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More →	-1.7 (#181)	HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.399 (#208)	-
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -3.4 More →	0.399 (#208)	NetEff -3.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.6 More →	0.454 (#180)	AdjNet -1.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.7 More →	0.452 (#181)	AdjNet -1.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.0 \| AdjD 71.9 More →	0.456 (#184)	AdjO 70.0 \| AdjD 71.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.7 \| AdjD 70.1 More →	0.445 (#213)	AdjO 67.7 \| AdjD 70.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.456 (#185)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.454 (#192)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 152 \| GP 29 More →	964 (#203)	RD 152 \| GP 29

2026 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2025-11-03	vs	Northern Illinois Huskies	W	77 - 56
2025-11-07	vs	William Carey Crusaders	W	92 - 80
2025-11-10	vs	Blue Mountain Christian Toppers	W	113 - 39
2025-11-13	@	Jacksonville State Gamecocks	W	67 - 61
2025-11-18	vs	SE Louisiana Lady Lions	W	86 - 53
2025-11-22	vs	Nicholls Colonels	W	86 - 60
2025-11-27	@	UAB Blazers	L	72 - 77
2025-11-28	vs	NC State Wolfpack	L	56 - 110
2025-12-01	@	SMU Mustangs	L	70 - 83
2025-12-07	vs	UAB Blazers	W	81 - 73
2025-12-14	@	Mississippi State Bulldogs	L	64 - 87
2025-12-18	vs	South Alabama Jaguars	W	84 - 65
2025-12-20	vs	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	W	76 - 58
2026-01-01	vs	Arkansas State Red Wolves	L	83 - 91
2026-01-03	vs	Troy Trojans	W	98 - 95
2026-01-10	@	App State Mountaineers	L	59 - 82
2026-01-14	@	Texas State Bobcats	W	76 - 62
2026-01-17	@	Arkansas State Red Wolves	L	71 - 81
2026-01-22	vs	Marshall Thundering Herd	L	52 - 61
2026-01-24	vs	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	L	55 - 81
2026-01-28	@	Georgia Southern Eagles	L	67 - 70
2026-01-30	@	Old Dominion Monarchs	W	86 - 83
2026-02-04	vs	James Madison Dukes	L	72 - 83
2026-02-07	@	Toledo Rockets	L	67 - 76
2026-02-12	vs	UL Monroe Warhawks	L	62 - 85
2026-02-14	vs	Texas State Bobcats	W	86 - 77
2026-02-18	@	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	W	83 - 61
2026-02-21	@	Troy Trojans	L	80 - 97
2026-02-25	@	South Alabama Jaguars	L	43 - 57
2026-02-27	@	UL Monroe Warhawks	W	68 - 61
2026-03-05	vs	UL Monroe Warhawks	L	72 - 89

2026 Roster

Show Alumni

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM GP	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Jakayla Johnson	G	31	27.8	15.6	4.1	1.7	1.4	0.1	2.5	10.9	9.5	14	27	0.5	0.9	45.7	39.2	82.5	2.95	58.9	51.3
Meloney Thames	G	31	31.7	13.3	3.4	2.4	1.2	0.2	1.6	13.0	5.8	-62	27	-2.3	-3.3	34.2	24.7	70.5	-2.85	44.7	39.7
Hayleigh Breland	G	30	29.6	11.7	4.1	2.2	1.1	0.0	2.3	11.9	5.1	-28	26	-1.1	-1.7	37.1	29.5	86.2	-0.12	46.1	42.4
Sakyia White	F	16	23.0	11.3	7.9	0.6	1.2	0.6	1.4	7.7	12.6	43	13	3.3	6.2	57.7	0	86.7	3.33	63.4	57.7
Carly Keats	PG	31	29.0	10.2	2.9	2.3	0.7	0.1	2.0	9.1	5.0	-21	27	-0.8	-1.2	38.9	37.0	81.5	0.59	53.6	51.9
Whitney Hart	C	27	18.6	6.3	5.6	0.4	0.9	0.4	0.9	5.1	7.5	-8	23	-0.3	-0.9	49.3	0	66.0	0.57	52.8	49.3
Brikayla Gray	G	31	21.2	4.0	4.8	1.0	0.9	0.5	0.9	3.5	6.7	-52	27	-1.9	-4.1	44.5	22.2	66.7	-1.18	49.3	45.5
Morgan Sieper	G	29	13.6	3.1	1.4	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.7	3.8	1.3	-37	25	-1.5	-4.7	28.8	25.6	100.0	-1.72	40.4	39.2
Timya Thurman	C	25	8.8	2.3	2.5	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.2	1.7	3.5	-53	22	-2.4	-13.5	58.1	0	53.8	-3.72	58.5	58.1
Ramiah Augurson	G	29	7.1	2.0	1.3	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.8	2.1	1.2	-4	23	-0.2	-1.0	31.7	28.6	64.3	-0.0	40.1	33.3
Anaisha Carriere	G	13	5.3	1.6	1.1	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.3	1.0	-23	11	-2.1	-19.4	52.9	33.3	40.0	-3.72	54.7	55.9
Je'Mya Evans	F	26	5.6	1.3	1.4	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.5	1.3	1.2	-7	21	-0.3	-2.3	44.1	0	41.7	-1.72	44.6	44.1
Miriam Prince	G	11	2.8	0.5	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.3	0.4	-7	9	-0.8	-9.5	66.7	66.7	0	-2.85	100.0	100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

2013 located field-goal attempts in 31 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Points: who the team's points here most likely come from

Misses: who misses most here

Jakayla JohnsonMeloney ThamesHayleigh BrelandCarly Keats

Zone	FGM-FGA	FG%	Pts	Top scorer	Runner-up	Most misses	Runner-up
Restricted area	259-437	59.3	518	Jakayla Johnson 22% (112 pts)	Sakyia White 16% (84 pts)	Jakayla Johnson 22% (39 misses)	Hayleigh Breland 16% (29 misses)
Paint (non-RA)	232-558	41.6	464	Jakayla Johnson 20% (94 pts)	Meloney Thames 15% (70 pts)	Jakayla Johnson 18% (59 misses)	Meloney Thames 18% (58 misses)
Mid-range left	38-109	34.9	76	Hayleigh Breland 24% (18 pts)	Meloney Thames 21% (16 pts)	Meloney Thames 32% (23 misses)	Hayleigh Breland 21% (15 misses)
Mid-range center	26-69	37.7	52	Hayleigh Breland 42% (22 pts)	Meloney Thames 19% (10 pts)	Hayleigh Breland 28% (12 misses)	Meloney Thames 26% (11 misses)
Mid-range right	44-128	34.4	88	Hayleigh Breland 34% (30 pts)	Meloney Thames 25% (22 pts)	Hayleigh Breland 37% (31 misses)	Meloney Thames 18% (15 misses)
Left corner 3	18-66	27.3	54	Carly Keats 33% (18 pts)	Jakayla Johnson 28% (15 pts)	Meloney Thames 31% (15 misses)	Carly Keats 21% (10 misses)
Right corner 3	19-48	39.6	57	Jakayla Johnson 26% (15 pts)	Hayleigh Breland 21% (12 pts)	Hayleigh Breland 24% (7 misses)	Jakayla Johnson 24% (7 misses)
Above-break 3 left	87-256	34.0	261	Carly Keats 43% (111 pts)	Meloney Thames 24% (63 pts)	Meloney Thames 33% (55 misses)	Carly Keats 25% (43 misses)
Above-break 3 center	23-97	23.7	69	Carly Keats 30% (21 pts)	Meloney Thames 26% (18 pts)	Carly Keats 38% (28 misses)	Meloney Thames 26% (19 misses)
Above-break 3 right	76-245	31.0	228	Carly Keats 29% (66 pts)	Hayleigh Breland 24% (54 pts)	Carly Keats 25% (42 misses)	Meloney Thames 23% (39 misses)