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2026-02-04

Model Predictions

Model James Madison Dukes Southern Miss Lady Eagles Spread Result
Elo 85.1% 14.9% -
Bradley-Terry 80.5% 19.5% -
Margin 95.7% 4.3% -17.1 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 66.2% 33.8% -
Efficiency 90.0% 10.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.6% 4.4% -
Log Adjusted 95.7% 4.3% -
Points Off/Def 81.0% 19.0% -

Actual: Southern Miss Lady Eagles -11 (72-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

James Madison Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Robinson 35 7-15 2-4 0-0 1 4 2 0 0 16 8 -6.1
P. McDaniel 32 10-16 2-6 2-3 8 2 0 0 2 24 16 +0.3
A. Barnes 31 10-20 0-0 1-3 9 5 1 0 0 21 16 +11.4
Z. Stephenson 29 4-9 2-3 0-1 4 5 2 0 2 10 10 -2.2
D. Soltys 21 0-2 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 0 1 0 9 +7.5
G. McDonough 18 3-3 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 7 9 +0.6
B. McLeod 12 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 2 0 5 6 -2.0
R. Walton 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 +2.3
K. Marshall 9 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 +10.9
A. Williams 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.2

Southern Miss Lady Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Johnson 36 8-14 2-3 4-6 2 3 1 0 1 22 13 -1.8
M. Thames 35 5-13 2-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 12 -1 -5.4
W. Hart 33 7-12 0-0 3-3 10 1 0 0 1 17 15 -9.7
H. Breland 32 4-12 1-4 2-2 4 4 0 0 2 11 5 +2.1
C. Keats 29 1-5 0-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 1 +0.4
B. Gray 28 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 6 8 -0.9
T. Thurman 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 +4.3
M. Sieper 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

* = starter