Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Miss Lady Eagles | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.4% | 94.6% | +20.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.9% | 80.1% | +15.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +17 (97-80). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Southern Miss Lady Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meloney Thames * | 32 | 8-20 | 4-11 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Hayleigh Breland * | 31 | 1-13 | 0-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Whitney Hart * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Carly Keats * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jakayla Johnson * | 24 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Brikayla Gray | 25 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Ramiah Augurson | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Timya Thurman | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Morgan Sieper | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Anaisha Carriere | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zay Dyer * | 33 | 9-20 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Rachel Leggett * | 30 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Ashley Baez * | 26 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Fortuna Ngnawo * | 26 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Emani Jenkins * | 16 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Leilani Guion | 20 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Saniya Jackson | 19 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Detavia Salter | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Kamesha Moore | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Shakirah Edwards | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lana Koricanac | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter