Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Miss Lady Eagles | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.9% | 62.1% | -1.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.1% | 51.9% | +0.8 | ✓ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +13 (83-70). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Southern Miss Lady Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meloney Thames * | 33 | 5-17 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | -8.5 |
| Sakyia White * | 32 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 24 | +3.2 |
| Carly Keats * | 31 | 2-12 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | -11.2 |
| Jakayla Johnson * | 30 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | +5.5 |
| Hayleigh Breland * | 24 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -10.3 |
| Brikayla Gray | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | -10.1 |
| Morgan Sieper | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -9.0 |
| Ramiah Augurson | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +6.1 |
| Je'Mya Evans | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.4 |
| Timya Thurman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.7 |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyi Skinner * | 34 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | +12.2 |
| Kyla Deck * | 33 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4 | +16.3 |
| Miriam Ibezim * | 29 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 17 | +9.4 |
| Zahra King * | 26 | 8-14 | 3-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 11 | +1.4 |
| Ayanna Thompson * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Jzaniya Harriel | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +2.6 |
| Sahnya Jah | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Anaya Brown | 16 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +9.0 |
| Elizaveta Filchagina | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4.8 |
* = starter