Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Southern Miss Lady Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.6% | 80.4% | +7.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Miss Lady Eagles +9 (86-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angela Carroll | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 | -5.6 |
| Saniya Burks | 30 | 10-17 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 11 | -0.8 |
| Deja Jones | 28 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | +1.0 |
| KP Parr | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | +6.3 |
| Kyra Anderson | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | +5.3 |
| Taleiyah Gibbs | 22 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | +5.7 |
| Mia Galbraith | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3.3 |
| Kyaija Stewart | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5.5 |
| Amyria Walker | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -2.1 |
| Kaliyah Murphy | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.4 |
Southern Miss Lady Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meloney Thames | 36 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 6-9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | -0.6 |
| Carly Keats | 30 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +4.6 |
| Hayleigh Breland | 29 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | +0.2 |
| Whitney Hart | 27 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -4.5 |
| Jakayla Johnson | 27 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 17-20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 19 | -3.1 |
| Brikayla Gray | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Timya Thurman | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +2.3 |
| Morgan Sieper | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -6.3 |
| Je'Mya Evans | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Ramiah Augurson | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1.6 |
* = starter