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Southern Miss Lady Eagles 67
@
Toledo Rockets 76
2026-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Southern Miss Lady Eagles Toledo Rockets Spread Result
Elo 17.9% 82.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 36.6% 63.4% - ✓
Margin 27.2% 72.8% +5.4 ✓ (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.3% 61.7% - ✓
Efficiency 28.9% 71.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 31.1% 68.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 31.0% 69.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 37.4% 62.6% - ✓

Actual: Toledo Rockets +9 (76-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Miss Lady Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Johnson 35 5-13 1-2 8-8 3 1 3 0 3 19 10 -5.5
W. Hart 33 6-11 0-0 3-4 9 1 2 1 2 15 15 -5.5
M. Thames 31 10-21 0-5 5-8 6 0 1 0 1 25 10 -11.6
C. Keats 30 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -6.1
B. Gray 25 1-8 0-1 0-0 6 0 2 1 1 2 2 -7.9
R. Augurson 19 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 6 3 +6.5
M. Sieper 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 0 5 +6.2
T. Thurman 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.2
A. Carriere 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0
J. Evans 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.6

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Anumgba 35 9-17 3-8 4-6 1 2 0 0 5 25 6 +9.8
F. Fedd-Robinson 34 8-14 0-0 4-4 15 3 1 1 1 20 25 +4.2
E. Cole 32 6-13 0-0 2-2 11 5 1 0 0 14 18 +7.6
C. Dykstra 30 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 1 1 0 6 +6.7
E. Weaver 24 1-6 1-6 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 5 0 -3.1
K. Carruthers 20 2-4 2-2 2-2 3 6 0 0 2 8 11 +8.9
E. Carrier 14 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 2 -10.0
E. Dykstra 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 +0.4
C. VandenBosch 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Hocevar 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 +1.9

* = starter