Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Miss Lady Eagles | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.4% | 73.6% | +5.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +9 (76-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Miss Lady Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakayla Johnson | 35 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | +2.8 |
| Whitney Hart | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | +0.6 |
| Meloney Thames | 31 | 10-21 | 0-5 | 5-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 10 | -6.8 |
| Carly Keats | 30 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -0.9 |
| Brikayla Gray | 25 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -13.6 |
| Ramiah Augurson | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +6.7 |
| Morgan Sieper | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +6.6 |
| Timya Thurman | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
| Anaisha Carriere | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Je'Mya Evans | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.7 |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patricia Anumgba | 35 | 9-17 | 3-8 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 6 | +7.6 |
| Faith Fedd-Robinson | 34 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 25 | -4.0 |
| Evalyse Cole | 32 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 | +1.9 |
| Cadence Dykstra | 30 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | +7.2 |
| Ella Weaver | 24 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -4.4 |
| Kendall Carruthers | 20 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | +5.5 |
| Evyn Carrier | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -8.9 |
| Elisha Dykstra | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.1 |
| Camryn Vanden Bosch | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
| Alexa Hocevar | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3.9 |
* = starter