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2026-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Southern Miss Lady Eagles South Alabama Jaguars Spread Result
Elo 20.4% 79.6% -
Bradley-Terry 43.7% 56.3% -
Margin 34.1% 65.9% +3.6 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.4% 58.6% -
Efficiency 45.1% 54.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.3% 57.7% -
Log Adjusted 42.2% 57.8% -
Points Off/Def 40.8% 59.2% -

Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +14 (57-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Miss Lady Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Thames 40 5-17 1-9 1-3 3 2 2 0 2 12 0 -
J. Johnson 38 1-12 0-4 6-6 6 0 1 0 3 8 0 -
H. Breland 38 5-20 2-10 1-1 6 1 0 0 0 13 0 -
B. Gray 28 2-9 0-1 1-1 9 1 1 0 0 5 7 -
W. Hart 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 2 2 -
M. Sieper 19 1-7 1-6 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 3 0 -
T. Thurman 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
C. Keats 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Evans 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Augurson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

South Alabama Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Gonzalez 40 0-6 0-4 1-2 6 2 1 0 3 1 1 -
C. Harris 30 5-11 0-1 0-0 13 0 0 4 1 10 15 -
A. Sutton 29 6-12 0-6 2-2 6 1 0 0 2 14 7 -
C. Narcisse 27 7-9 2-4 5-6 8 3 0 0 5 21 18 -
D. Carter-Hartley 26 2-7 1-2 1-2 9 0 0 0 0 6 8 -
T. Ortiz 24 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 6 3 -5 -
R. Marc 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Spann 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter