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2026-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Southern Miss Lady Eagles South Alabama Jaguars Spread Result
Elo 46.2% 53.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 52.9% 47.1% - โœ—
Margin 33.4% 66.6% +3.8 โœ“ (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.4% 58.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 34.5% 65.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 41.9% 58.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 41.9% 58.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.0% 60.0% - โœ“

Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +14 (57-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Miss Lady Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Meloney Thames 40 5-17 1-9 1-3 3 2 2 0 2 12 0 -15.7
Jakayla Johnson 38 1-12 0-4 6-6 6 0 1 0 3 8 0 -9.1
Hayleigh Breland 38 5-20 2-10 1-1 6 1 0 0 0 13 0 -11.3
Brikayla Gray 28 2-9 0-1 1-1 9 1 1 0 0 5 7 +1.3
Whitney Hart 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 2 2 -1.8
Morgan Sieper 19 1-7 1-6 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 3 0 -6.2
Timya Thurman 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 2 -3.9
Carly Keats 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -8.2
Je'Mya Evans 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -10.0
Ramiah Augurson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.0

South Alabama Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Daniela Gonzalez 40 0-6 0-4 1-2 6 2 1 0 3 1 1 +13.0
Cordasia Harris 30 5-11 0-1 0-0 13 0 0 4 1 10 15 +4.5
Amyah Sutton 29 6-12 0-6 2-2 6 1 0 0 2 14 7 +6.2
Chrysta Narcisse 27 7-9 2-4 5-6 8 3 0 0 5 21 18 +25.5
Diawna Carter-Hartley 26 2-7 1-2 1-2 9 0 0 0 0 6 8 -4.0
Tamara Ortiz 24 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 6 3 -5 +1.4
Ronaltha Marc 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 2 +9.1
Alicia Spann 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 +9.0

* = starter