Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Southern Miss Lady Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 87.2% | 12.8% | -10.6 | ✗ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Miss Lady Eagles +3 (98-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zay Dyer | 38 | 5-18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | -4.2 |
| Fortuna Ngnawo | 34 | 10-22 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 19 | +6.1 |
| Ashley Baez | 32 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 3-6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | -1.7 |
| Rachel Leggett | 28 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | -11.8 |
| Emani Jenkins | 25 | 8-20 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 8 | -8.0 |
| Leilani Guion | 21 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -7.6 |
| Saniya Jackson | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -5.5 |
| Shakirah Edwards | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -4.7 |
| Detavia Salter | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.4 |
Southern Miss Lady Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakayla Johnson | 34 | 11-20 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 19 | +14.7 |
| Sakyia White | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 19 | +6.3 |
| Meloney Thames | 29 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | -5.1 |
| Hayleigh Breland | 28 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | -6.8 |
| Carly Keats | 26 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | +11.1 |
| Brikayla Gray | 25 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | +9.1 |
| Morgan Sieper | 15 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +13.4 |
| Je'Mya Evans | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +4.2 |
| Whitney Hart | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Timya Thurman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +5.7 |
| Ramiah Augurson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.9 |
* = starter