Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Southern Miss Lady Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | +1.0 | ✓ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Miss Lady Eagles +19 (84-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gonzalez | 35 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -14.9 |
| D. Carter-Hartley | 33 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -19.8 |
| C. Harris | 33 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | -5.0 |
| A. Sutton | 29 | 5-16 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | -0.3 |
| C. Narcisse | 29 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -14.3 |
| R. Marc | 18 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -0.2 |
| T. Ortiz | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -1 | -9.7 |
| A. Spann | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -11.0 |
| A. Mangas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| J. Baines | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -12.8 |
Southern Miss Lady Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Keats | 30 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | +19.0 |
| H. Breland | 29 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +12.2 |
| M. Thames | 29 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | -3.3 |
| S. White | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 19 | -2.2 |
| B. Gray | 25 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | +22.2 |
| M. Sieper | 22 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +9.5 |
| J. Johnson | 21 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | +20.5 |
| J. Evans | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | +15.5 |
| T. Thurman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5.7 |
| R. Augurson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
* = starter