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Mississippi State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Mississippi State Bulldogs, Mississippi State
Program History
Coach: Chris Jans

2025 Team Stats (31 games)

78.7
PPG
75.0
Opp
+3.7
Margin
44.6%
FG%
30.4%
3P%
71.0%
FT%
37.7
RPG
14.8
APG
10.8
TO
82.8
Pace
83.5
AdjO
67.2
AdjD
#35
Rank

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1118 (#84) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1199 (#51) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +15.9 (#35) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.690 (#73) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → 0.690 (#76) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +22.6 More → 0.931 (#33) AdjNet +22.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +22.9 More → 0.934 (#33) AdjNet +22.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.5 | AdjD 67.2 More → 0.814 (#35) AdjO 83.5 | AdjD 67.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Georgia State Panthers W 101 - 66
2024-11-12 vs SE Louisiana Lions W 80 - 59
2024-11-17 vs Utah Utes W 78 - 73
2024-11-22 @ SMU Mustangs W 84 - 79
2024-11-28 @ UNLV Rebels W 80 - 58
2024-11-29 vs Butler Bulldogs L 77 - 87
2024-12-04 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 90 - 57
2024-12-08 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers W 91 - 84
2024-12-14 vs McNeese Cowboys W 66 - 63
2024-12-17 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 83 - 59
2024-12-21 @ Memphis Tigers W 79 - 66
2024-12-30 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 87 - 73
2025-01-04 vs South Carolina Gamecocks W 85 - 50
2025-01-07 @ Vanderbilt Commodores W 76 - 64
2025-01-11 vs Kentucky Wildcats L 90 - 95
2025-01-14 @ Auburn Tigers L 66 - 88
2025-01-18 vs Ole Miss Rebels W 84 - 81
2025-01-21 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 56 - 68
2025-01-25 @ South Carolina Gamecocks W 65 - 60
2025-01-29 vs Alabama Crimson Tide L 84 - 88
2025-02-01 vs Missouri Tigers L 61 - 88
2025-02-08 @ Georgia Bulldogs W 76 - 75
2025-02-11 vs Florida Gators L 68 - 81
2025-02-15 @ Ole Miss Rebels W 81 - 71
2025-02-18 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 70 - 54
2025-02-22 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 87 - 93
2025-02-25 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 73 - 111
2025-03-01 vs LSU Tigers W 81 - 69
2025-03-04 vs Texas Longhorns L 82 - 87
2025-03-08 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 92 - 93
2025-03-13 @ Missouri Tigers L 73 - 85
2025-03-21 vs Baylor Bears L 72 - 75

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Hubbard J. Hubbard G 32 33.5 18.4 2.2 3.2 0.9 0.1 1.3 14.7 8.8 203 6.0 7.5 38.9 32.7 87.7 2.56 55.1 49.0
K. Murphy K. Murphy F 32 24.0 12.0 7.4 1.5 0.8 1.1 1.6 8.9 12.3 39 1.9 3.5 56.7 16.7 62.0 0.24 59.0 57.4
R. Kugel R. Kugel G 31 22.7 9.5 3.0 1.5 1.1 0.2 1.4 7.9 6.1 67 3.2 5.0 43.9 33.3 74.6 0.89 54.8 51.6
C. Harris Jr. C. Harris Jr. G 32 23.3 9.3 2.8 1.2 0.9 0.1 0.7 8.2 5.4 99 3.5 5.7 38.4 32.4 79.5 1.36 52.6 49.8
R. Melendez R. Melendez F 32 22.8 9.1 4.3 0.8 1.0 0.7 1.0 7.1 7.8 139 4.8 6.8 44.2 27.7 74.7 2.12 55.6 51.1
Cameron Matthews Cameron Matthews F 32 30.0 7.2 6.8 3.8 2.4 0.7 2.5 5.4 13.0 177 5.5 7.4 50.9 24.0 51.5 2.46 53.8 52.6
K. Clary K. Clary G 6 18.8 6.7 1.3 2.7 0.8 0.0 0.8 5.2 5.5 49 12.2 24.7 38.7 25.0 77.8 -0.28 51.4 41.9
M. Nwoko M. Nwoko F 32 15.5 6.1 4.7 0.7 0.4 0.8 0.6 4.7 7.5 149 4.7 7.8 51.3 14.3 61.2 1.37 54.6 51.7
S. Jones Jr. S. Jones Jr. G 32 19.2 4.6 2.5 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.3 3.8 5.3 5 0.2 0.6 43.4 28.1 73.5 0.31 53.7 50.0
M. Russell M. Russell G 9 5.0 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.0 1.2 -4 -1.3 -10.3 55.6 40.0 0.0 -0.85 60.7 66.7
G. Chol G. Chol C 13 4.0 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 -6 -1.5 -24.1 45.5 0.0 80.0 -1.03 53.0 45.5
J. Foumena J. Foumena C 7 2.7 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0 0.9 -1 -1.0 -14.0 42.9 25.0 0 -1.46 50.0 50.0
D. Warren D. Warren G 24 5.6 0.4 0.8 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.7 1.4 -7 -0.5 -3.6 25.0 11.1 20.0 -0.25 27.5 28.1
H. Alexander H. Alexander G 9 2.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 -0.3 -5 -1.2 -23.2 16.7 16.7 0 -1.07 25.0 25.0
Tolu Smith Iii Tolu Smith Iii G 4 1.5 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 -1 -0.2 -37.5 0.0 0.0 50.0 -1.83 17.4 0.0
T. Fort T. Fort G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 91 2.8 7.3 - - - 0.69 - -
A. Myers A. Myers F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 3 1.5 34.1 - - - -1.38 - -
J. Scott J. Scott F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 227 7.3 10.4 - - - 1.47 - -
E. Paymon E. Paymon F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG