Model Predictions
| Model | Texas A&M Aggies | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✓ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +16 (70-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas A&M Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Taylor IV | 33 | 4-14 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | -11.2 |
| A. Garcia | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -11.1 |
| Z. Phelps | 25 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 2 | -8.3 |
| H. Coleman III | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -12.7 |
| P. Payne | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | -5.7 |
| S. Washington | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| CJ Wilcher | 14 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | +3.6 |
| H. Hefner | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -5.5 |
| M. Obaseki | 12 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | -4.4 |
| J. Carter | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -7.5 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hubbard | 35 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 10-11 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 24 | +15.3 |
| C. Matthews | 34 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | +18.7 |
| R. Melendez | 26 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +3.3 |
| S. Jones Jr. | 24 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +8.1 |
| C. Harris Jr. | 21 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +10.0 |
| K. Murphy | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | -0.1 |
| M. Nwoko | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +17.7 |
| R. Kugel | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +6.5 |
| D. Warren | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
* = starter