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2025-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Oklahoma Sooners Spread Result
Elo 45.4% 54.6% -
Bradley-Terry 38.4% 61.6% -
Margin 47.9% 52.1% +0.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% -
Efficiency 49.1% 50.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.2% 39.8% -
Log Adjusted 60.2% 39.8% -
Points Off/Def 48.2% 51.8% -

Actual: Oklahoma Sooners +6 (93-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hubbard 36 4-12 4-10 7-7 3 5 2 0 4 19 13 -3.5
R. Melendez 28 3-8 0-3 3-5 10 1 0 0 1 9 11 -9.3
K. Murphy 26 5-11 0-0 6-6 7 3 1 1 2 16 15 +0.1
C. Matthews 25 1-5 1-2 3-4 8 2 0 0 3 6 8 -0.2
R. Kugel 25 5-17 1-6 0-0 5 1 1 1 0 11 2 +5.3
C. Harris Jr. 22 4-8 3-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 11 5 +7.3
S. Jones Jr. 22 3-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 3 0 0 7 7 -2.4
M. Nwoko 12 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 6 5 -3.3
D. Warren 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 +1.3

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fears 37 7-12 2-5 11-14 5 10 1 1 3 27 29 +11.6
J. Moore 35 6-16 3-9 3-4 7 2 1 0 1 18 11 -6.5
K. Elvis 28 3-6 3-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 9 6 +11.5
B. Goodine 28 3-7 2-5 1-1 1 0 1 0 1 9 3 +13.1
S. Godwin 26 7-8 0-0 3-7 10 0 2 2 1 17 22 -7.9
D. Miles 16 0-0 0-0 3-4 1 1 0 0 1 3 4 -2.7
M. Wague 13 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 1 0 5 8 +10.9
D. Forsythe 11 1-4 1-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 5 5 -6.8
G. Taylor Jr. 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.4

* = starter