Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Vanderbilt Commodores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | +0.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -12 (64-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hubbard | 33 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| R. Melendez | 32 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 13 | +18.4 |
| C. Harris Jr. | 31 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | +8.8 |
| C. Matthews | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 14 | +15.8 |
| K. Murphy | 28 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | +12.7 |
| S. Jones Jr. | 20 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +9.6 |
| M. Nwoko | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +0.6 |
| R. Kugel | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | +2.2 |
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hoggard | 29 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 5 | -7.7 |
| G. Huffman | 28 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | -13.5 |
| J. Carey | 26 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +3.2 |
| T. Tanner | 26 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | -7.4 |
| T. Nickel | 26 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | -3.4 |
| D. McGlockton | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -9.0 |
| MJ Collins | 16 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | +0.3 |
| C. Manon | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -6.8 |
| J. Edwards | 11 | 0-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -10 | -10.3 |
* = starter