Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.8% | 85.2% | +9.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +12 (81-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Carter | 34 | 9-16 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 11 | -12.5 |
| D. Bailey | 31 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -6.3 |
| J. Sears | 30 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | -5.9 |
| D. Collins | 27 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -8.4 |
| D. Fountain | 24 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | -7.0 |
| C. Givens III | 21 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -3.9 |
| R. Miller III | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | +0.5 |
| M. Williams III | 13 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | -11.2 |
| V. Miller | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hubbard | 35 | 9-18 | 2-9 | 10-11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 17 | +9.8 |
| C. Matthews | 34 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | +15.6 |
| R. Kugel | 30 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | +7.8 |
| K. Murphy | 24 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +2.8 |
| S. Jones Jr. | 23 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | +1.2 |
| C. Harris Jr. | 17 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +10.1 |
| R. Melendez | 17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +7.5 |
| M. Nwoko | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +7.2 |
| D. Warren | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | +2.2 |
* = starter