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2025-03-01

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 28.6% 71.4% -
Bradley-Terry 26.1% 73.9% -
Margin 14.8% 85.2% +9.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 39.5% 60.5% -
Efficiency 39.5% 60.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.4% 85.6% -
Log Adjusted 14.5% 85.5% -
Points Off/Def 28.9% 71.1% -

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +12 (81-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Carter 34 9-16 5-10 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 23 11 -12.5
D. Bailey 31 3-5 0-2 1-2 6 3 0 0 2 7 9 -6.3
J. Sears 30 3-13 1-6 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 9 0 -5.9
D. Collins 27 3-10 0-4 4-5 3 2 1 0 1 10 5 -8.4
D. Fountain 24 4-4 1-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 9 10 -7.0
C. Givens III 21 0-4 0-4 3-4 2 1 1 0 2 3 1 -3.9
R. Miller III 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 0 6 +0.5
M. Williams III 13 3-10 2-7 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 8 0 -11.2
V. Miller 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hubbard 35 9-18 2-9 10-11 4 2 1 0 2 30 17 +9.8
C. Matthews 34 3-4 0-0 1-2 7 3 2 0 1 7 14 +15.6
R. Kugel 30 5-6 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 12 10 +7.8
K. Murphy 24 4-7 0-1 1-3 5 1 0 1 1 9 8 +2.8
S. Jones Jr. 23 2-2 1-1 2-4 5 1 2 2 1 7 14 +1.2
C. Harris Jr. 17 2-8 1-6 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 5 2 +10.1
R. Melendez 17 1-1 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 3 1 5 7 +7.5
M. Nwoko 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 6 6 +7.2
D. Warren 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 0 -1 +2.2

* = starter