🐻⬇️🏀

@
2024-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Utah Utes Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 18.5% 81.5% -
Bradley-Terry 28.3% 71.7% -
Margin 18.2% 81.8% +8.3 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -
Efficiency 44.0% 56.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.2% 80.8% -
Log Adjusted 18.9% 81.1% -
Points Off/Def 31.6% 68.4% -

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +5 (78-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Madsen * 33 4-15 1-10 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 9 -3 -4.4
M. Little * 27 4-8 2-5 0-1 4 6 0 0 3 10 9 -19.8
E. Ausar * 26 4-13 0-0 7-10 4 2 0 1 1 15 8 +0.2
M. Sharavjamts * 21 3-6 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 6 5 +1.5
J. Wahlin * 19 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 3 4 -3.8
H. Erickson 29 1-3 1-3 0-1 5 3 1 0 1 3 8 -3.2
K. Dawes 25 6-8 0-2 1-2 12 0 1 1 2 13 17 +8.0
M. Madsen 20 5-7 4-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 14 11 -0.2

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hubbard * 33 8-16 5-9 2-2 1 2 1 0 0 23 11 +5.4
C. Harris Jr. * 29 2-10 1-7 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 5 0 +4.9
C. Matthews * 23 2-3 0-0 8-10 4 4 2 0 1 12 18 -
M. Nwoko * 16 1-4 0-0 0-2 11 2 0 3 1 2 13 -0.6
S. Jones Jr. * 15 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
R. Kugel 27 4-10 0-4 4-6 6 1 1 0 1 12 9 +8.4
K. Murphy 27 5-12 0-1 8-10 14 1 0 2 1 18 22 +3.2
R. Melendez 16 2-5 0-2 2-3 2 1 2 1 1 6 6 +3.4
K. Clary 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 +2.1

* = starter