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2024-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 45.1% 54.9% -
Bradley-Terry 43.1% 56.9% -
Margin 50.0% 50.0% -0.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% -
Efficiency 43.8% 56.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.7% 36.3% -
Log Adjusted 64.2% 35.8% -
Points Off/Def 48.6% 51.4% -

Actual: SMU Mustangs -5 (79-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hubbard * 33 4-18 2-10 4-4 0 5 1 0 0 14 2 -0.6
C. Matthews * 31 3-6 0-1 0-0 5 8 3 0 4 6 12 +9.0
K. Clary * 26 2-6 1-2 3-4 3 4 0 0 0 8 9 -2.6
M. Nwoko * 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -9.1
S. Jones Jr. * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
K. Murphy 29 6-12 2-3 2-4 7 1 2 3 2 16 15 +11.2
R. Kugel 22 4-6 1-2 4-7 6 1 1 0 0 13 15 +16.9
R. Melendez 22 4-8 1-2 6-6 5 1 0 0 0 15 13 -0.0
C. Harris Jr. 16 4-8 2-6 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 10 4 -
G. Chol 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +1.9

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Cross * 31 3-6 2-5 4-6 9 4 0 1 0 12 20 -1.8
B.J. Edwards * 29 3-5 2-4 2-2 2 2 1 0 5 10 5 +9.3
B. Miller * 28 3-9 0-4 6-6 3 6 2 0 4 12 10 -4.2
S. Yigitoglu * 27 3-4 0-0 6-10 5 3 0 3 0 12 19 +12.5
Y. Traore * 20 3-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 5 +12.5
K. Oquendo 19 4-7 3-6 2-3 3 0 2 0 1 13 10 -22.9
C. Harris 18 2-6 0-1 1-3 1 1 0 0 2 5 -1 -
K. Ambrose-Hylton 18 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 0 -6.5
J. Colbert 10 1-1 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 1 0 4 7 -8.8
T. Gorener 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

* = starter