Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.0% | 50.0% | -0.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -5 (79-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hubbard * | 33 | 4-18 | 2-10 | 4-4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | -0.6 |
| C. Matthews * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | +9.0 |
| K. Clary * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -2.6 |
| M. Nwoko * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -9.1 |
| S. Jones Jr. * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Murphy | 29 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 15 | +11.2 |
| R. Kugel | 22 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | +16.9 |
| R. Melendez | 22 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | -0.0 |
| C. Harris Jr. | 16 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| G. Chol | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.9 |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Cross * | 31 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 20 | -1.8 |
| B.J. Edwards * | 29 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 5 | +9.3 |
| B. Miller * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | -4.2 |
| S. Yigitoglu * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 19 | +12.5 |
| Y. Traore * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +12.5 |
| K. Oquendo | 19 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | -22.9 |
| C. Harris | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| K. Ambrose-Hylton | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -6.5 |
| J. Colbert | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -8.8 |
| T. Gorener | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter