Model Predictions
| Model | Baylor Bears | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.9% | 54.1% | +0.9 | ✗ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -3 (72-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Omier | 39 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 | +6.7 |
| VJ Edgecombe | 37 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | +5.9 |
| J. Celestine | 33 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +3.4 |
| R. Wright III | 31 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | +5.5 |
| L. Love | 29 | 7-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | +3.4 |
| J. Nunn | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Roach | 14 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Dubravcic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Harris Jr. | 35 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | -1.5 |
| J. Hubbard | 35 | 11-18 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 6 | -3.4 |
| C. Matthews | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | +0.0 |
| R. Kugel | 23 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | -3.4 |
| R. Melendez | 21 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -0.5 |
| K. Murphy | 20 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| S. Jones Jr. | 16 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Nwoko | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Warren | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter