Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.2% | 76.8% | +6.6 | ✓ (26.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +33 (90-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lowe * | 35 | 7-21 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 4 | -31.8 |
| I. Leggett * | 32 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | -27.4 |
| A. Delalic * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| C. Corhen * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | -28.5 |
| G. Diaz Graham * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -17.7 |
| Z. Austin | 31 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -24.9 |
| P. Amadou Kante | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3.2 |
| B. Cummings | 17 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | -1.3 |
| J. Diaz Graham | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +0.3 |
| A. Ndiaye | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hubbard * | 30 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +31.8 |
| R. Kugel * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | +31.7 |
| C. Matthews * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 21 | +23.5 |
| R. Melendez * | 24 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +18.4 |
| M. Nwoko * | 18 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 22 | +6.1 |
| K. Murphy | 24 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 15 | +30.0 |
| C. Harris Jr. | 19 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +15.2 |
| S. Jones Jr. | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Warren | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7.2 |
| J. Foumena | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.0 |
| M. Russell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| H. Alexander | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| G. Chol | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| T. Jackson III | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter