Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gators | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.8% | 20.2% | -7.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -13 (68-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Clayton Jr. | 37 | 7-18 | 4-12 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | +21.4 |
| T. Haugh | 37 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 24 | +10.8 |
| W. Richard | 34 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +4.3 |
| D. Aberdeen | 32 | 7-12 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | +16.5 |
| R. Chinyelu | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +16.3 |
| U. Klavzar | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -8.6 |
| S. Alexis | 11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -8.5 |
| I. Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
| A. Condon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hubbard | 38 | 5-15 | 4-12 | 5-7 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | -8.0 |
| K. Murphy | 32 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 14 | -4.8 |
| R. Melendez | 27 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -4.8 |
| C. Matthews | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 8 | +5.9 |
| R. Kugel | 23 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -3.2 |
| M. Nwoko | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -10.8 |
| C. Harris Jr. | 19 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -4.8 |
| S. Jones Jr. | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -3.5 |
| D. Warren | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.3 |
* = starter