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2025-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs South Carolina Gamecocks Spread Result
Elo 66.4% 33.6% -
Bradley-Terry 61.1% 38.9% -
Margin 68.6% 31.4% -4.3 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 58.5% 41.5% -
Efficiency 60.6% 39.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.8% 23.2% -
Log Adjusted 77.0% 23.0% -
Points Off/Def 58.9% 41.1% -

Actual: South Carolina Gamecocks -5 (60-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Kugel 32 4-6 3-5 4-4 2 1 2 0 2 15 12 +5.2
C. Matthews 32 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 5 2 3 8 0 0 +3.3
C. Harris Jr. 32 4-11 1-7 2-2 2 2 2 0 0 11 6 -1.8
J. Hubbard 31 4-15 2-9 2-2 0 5 0 0 0 12 2 -0.5
R. Melendez 27 0-1 0-1 3-4 7 1 0 1 3 3 8 +2.6
S. Jones Jr. 26 0-2 0-1 0-1 7 1 1 1 0 0 8 +14.1
K. Murphy 25 6-9 0-1 1-3 2 0 2 2 1 13 9 -1.0
M. Nwoko 19 5-7 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 2 11 7 +0.2
G. Chol 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.8

South Carolina Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Davis 38 3-12 1-4 0-0 2 2 4 0 3 7 0 -
C. Murray-Boyles 37 4-11 0-1 2-4 12 1 4 2 2 10 16 +6.4
J. Thomas 34 4-9 1-5 10-12 5 2 4 0 5 19 16 -1.8
N. Pringle 33 2-4 0-0 1-2 12 1 0 1 3 5 12 +5.9
A. Conyers 32 1-9 1-5 9-10 6 1 1 0 2 12 9 -4.4
J. Wright 24 2-6 1-2 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 5 0 -2.3
M. Ugusuk 21 0-6 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6 -5.8
B. Bosmans-Verdonk 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -3.1

* = starter