Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.6% | 88.4% | +11.2 | ✓ (26.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +38 (111-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hubbard | 34 | 8-22 | 3-12 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 5 | -22.8 |
| C. Matthews | 32 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -23.9 |
| R. Melendez | 29 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 12 | -13.4 |
| K. Murphy | 27 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17 | -28.3 |
| C. Harris Jr. | 19 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -22.2 |
| R. Kugel | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | -14.3 |
| M. Nwoko | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -10.7 |
| S. Jones Jr. | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -12.7 |
| D. Warren | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -12.2 |
| M. Russell | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4.3 |
| H. Alexander | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sears | 29 | 6-16 | 5-12 | 4-5 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 18 | +21.6 |
| L. Philon | 26 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | +25.3 |
| C. Youngblood | 26 | 7-13 | 7-11 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 18 | +29.6 |
| G. Nelson | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | +18.6 |
| A. Holloway | 23 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | +19.0 |
| J. Stevenson | 21 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +19.7 |
| C. Omoruyi | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | +19.0 |
| M. Dioubate | 17 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | +16.4 |
| A. Sherrell | 13 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +13.5 |
| M. Scharnowski | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.0 |
* = starter