Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 14.7% | 85.3% | +9.7 | ✗ (19.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -10 (77-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Telfort * | 38 | 8-15 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 10 | +11.8 |
| P. Brooks * | 35 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 3-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 18 | +12.0 |
| P. McCaffery * | 35 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +3.5 |
| A. Cassia * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +5.4 |
| F. Bizjack * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | -6.4 |
| K. King | 22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +7.7 |
| L. Moore | 20 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +3.0 |
| A. Screen | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 16 | +9.7 |
| B. Kapke | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2.2 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hubbard * | 36 | 7-16 | 3-11 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | -7.4 |
| R. Kugel * | 31 | 8-19 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | -7.4 |
| C. Matthews * | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | -2.6 |
| M. Nwoko * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | -2.8 |
| K. Clary * | 15 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -6.4 |
| S. Jones Jr. | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Murphy | 17 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -0.2 |
| C. Harris Jr. | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -5.3 |
| R. Melendez | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1.2 |
| G. Chol | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.2 |
* = starter