Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.2% | 62.8% | +2.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +1 (93-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hubbard | 34 | 4-16 | 3-11 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 4 | +9.9 |
| C. Matthews | 30 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | +14.1 |
| R. Melendez | 26 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +13.9 |
| C. Harris Jr. | 24 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 9 | +8.3 |
| R. Kugel | 23 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +12.8 |
| S. Jones Jr. | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| M. Nwoko | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +0.0 |
| K. Murphy | 19 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | +4.9 |
| D. Warren | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +2.9 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Wagner | 38 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 7-7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 18 | -9.6 |
| J. Davis | 34 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | -11.1 |
| J. Aidoo | 32 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 27 | -13.4 |
| B. Richmond III | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -12.8 |
| T. Brazile | 23 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | -12.8 |
| K. Knox | 23 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Z. Ivisic | 22 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +1.2 |
| J. Karuletwa | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter